What Is State Street Corporation (STT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, State Street Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $138.67, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $183.65. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-24.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $610.02 (+232.2%), versus Bayesian DCF at $14.85 (-91.9%). This +324.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About STT?
12 of 13 models are currently active for STT. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates STT's intrinsic value at $14.85, implying -91.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does STT Rank in State Commercial Banks?
Among 172 State Commercial Banks stocks, STT ranks #136 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued State Commercial Banks Stocks →
Within the State Commercial Banks space, State Street Corporation competes in an environment where CET1 capital ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is STT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns STT a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for State Street Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, State Street Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +324.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every STT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across STT's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →