What Is ConAgra Brands, Inc. (CAG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ConAgra Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $19.30, suggesting a +34.7% average upside from the current price of $14.33. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $58.33 (+307.2%), versus ML-RIV at $4.47 (-68.8%). This +375.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About CAG?
12 of 13 models are currently active for CAG. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CAG's intrinsic value at $13.28, implying -7.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CAG Rank in Food and Kindred Products?
Among 22 Food and Kindred Products stocks, CAG ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.
As a consumer-facing company, ConAgra Brands, Inc. operates in a sector where brand equity index is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CAG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is CAG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CAG a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for ConAgra Brands, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, ConAgra Brands, Inc. is rated at 7.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +375.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CAG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CAG's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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