SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) Fair Value 2026

SFL · Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) trades at $11.12, approximately 73% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $41.41. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SFL
Price
$11.12
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +477.6% upside with 53% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.12)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$41.41 +272.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$0.51 -95.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$28.99 +160.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$64.20 +477.6%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SFL Corporation Ltd's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $24.46. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $11.12 (implied upside of +120.0%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 11 bullish models. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +477.6% (fair value: $64.20), while EPV is the most conservative at -95.4% ($0.51). The spread between these extremes — +573.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SFL?

11 of 13 models are currently active for SFL. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SFL's intrinsic value at $41.41, implying +272.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SFL Rank in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight?

Among 44 Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks, SFL ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places SFL in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks →

As a vehicle manufacturer, SFL Corporation Ltd operates in a sector where average transaction price (ATP) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SFL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SFL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SFL a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for SFL Corporation Ltd. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, SFL Corporation Ltd is rated at 8.2/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +573.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SFL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SFL's 11 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SFL Corporation Ltd Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GSL · ECO · DHT · CMRE · NMM

See all Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About SFL Corporation Ltd

What is SFL Corporation Ltd's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $41.41. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SFL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.12, 7 of 11 active models suggest SFL may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SFL Corporation Ltd's business model in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for SFL?

SFL Corporation Ltd's QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SFL?

CirclFi analyzes SFL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SFL a value trap in 2026?

SFL Corporation Ltd's Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on SFL.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access