SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) Fair Value 2026

SFL · Marine Shipping ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) trades at $12.35, versus a $11.76 median fair value across its 10 active models — 4.8% below the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $27.04.

Key Facts

Ticker
SFL
Price
$12.35
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +183.0% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $11.76, within 4.8% of the current price of $12.35. Estimates range from $1.63 to $34.95. SFL scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SFL’s -4.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Marine Shipping sector median is -15.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SFL Corporation Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SFL?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $27.04 +118.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $15.35 +24.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $34.95 +183.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.63 -86.8%
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What Is SFL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $1.63 to $34.95

CirclFi's 10 active models place SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) between $1.63 and $34.95 per share, a spread of 283% of the median. The median of that range — $11.76 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SFL, against a current price of $12.35.

Low · EROICHigh · First Chicago
$1.63median $11.76$34.95
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$1.63
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$34.95
Model agreement5 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SFL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SFL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SFL Corporation Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $11.76, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $12.35. With a median implied return of -4.8% across a split 5–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +269.8% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +183.0% (fair value: $34.95), while EROIC is the most conservative at -86.8% ($1.63). The spread between these extremes — +269.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SFL?

10 of 13 models are currently active for SFL. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SFL is $11.76 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $27.04 on its own, implying +118.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SFL Rank in Marine Shipping?

Among 37 Marine Shipping stocks, SFL ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

As a vehicle manufacturer, SFL Corporation Ltd. operates in a sector where average transaction price (ATP) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SFL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SFL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SFL a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for SFL Corporation Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, SFL Corporation Ltd. is rated at 6.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +269.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SFL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SFL's 10 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SFL Corporation Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Marine Shipping Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Marine Shipping stocks with 13-model coverage

GNKGenco Shipping & Trading LimitedQOC 6.8GLBSGlobus Maritime LimitedQOC 6.1ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.QOC 6.8CCECCapital Clean Energy Carriers Corp.QOC 5.9EHLDEuroholdings Ltd.QOC 7.0USEAUnited Maritime CorporationQOC 5.6ICONIcon Energy Corp.QOC 4.8CMRECostamare Inc.QOC 9.1DSXDiana Shipping Inc.QOC 7.7GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: GNK · GLBS · ZIM · CCEC · EHLD · USEA · ICON · CMRE · DSX · GSL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SFL?

7 companies across all industries closest to SFL’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

KROKronos Worldwide, Inc.QOC 6.4TCRXTScan Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.4TDSTelephone and Data Systems, Inc.QOC 6.4FLGFlagstar Bank, National AssociationQOC 6.4AVALGrupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.QOC 6.4STROSutro Biopharma, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: KRO · TCRX · TDS · FLG · AVAL · STRO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About SFL Corporation Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is SFL Corporation Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL)'s intrinsic value at $11.76 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.63 to $34.95. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $27.04 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SFL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.35, 5 of 10 active models suggest SFL may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $11.76, within 4.8% of the current price of $12.35 — a consensus view that SFL is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SFL Corporation Ltd.'s business model in Marine Shipping.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for SFL?

SFL Corporation Ltd.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SFL?

CirclFi analyzes SFL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SFL?

Of the 10 models currently active on SFL, First Chicago is the most bullish at $34.95 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $1.63. CirclFi's published fair value for SFL is the median of that range, $11.76, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 283% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SFL a value trap in 2026?

SFL Corporation Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, SFL Corporation Ltd. (SFL) has a median fair value of $11.76 — within 4.8% of the current price of $12.35 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SFL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SFL valuation
  • Financial statements: SFL Corporation Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001289877) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SFL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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