Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW) Fair Value 2026

ARTW · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW) trades at $2.90, versus a $1.42 median fair value across its 9 active models — 51.0% below the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ARTW
Price
$2.90
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $1.42, 51.0% below the current price of $2.90. Estimates range from $0.40 to $4.66. ARTW scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 28/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ARTW’s -51.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector median is -8.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ARTW?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.90)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $1.69 -41.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.98 -66.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.40 -86.2%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.36 -53.1%
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What Is ARTW's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $0.40 to $4.66

CirclFi's 9 active models place Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW) between $0.40 and $4.66 per share, a spread of 300% of the median. The median of that range — $1.42 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ARTW, against a current price of $2.90.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$0.40median $1.42$4.66
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.40
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$4.66
Model agreement3 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ARTW. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ARTW, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $1.42. Trading at $2.90, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -51.0%), as 6 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $4.66 (+60.8%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.40 (-86.2%). This +147.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ARTW?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ARTW. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ARTW is $1.42 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ARTW Rank in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery?

Among 28 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, ARTW ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s positioning within the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery segment means that capacity utilization rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including infrastructure spending cycle — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ARTW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ARTW a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. earns a quality score of 7.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +147.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ARTW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ARTW's 9 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

AEBIAebi Schmidt Holding AGQOC 7.2TWITitan International, Inc.QOC 7.1CNHCNH Industrial N.V.QOC 7.6XOSXos, Inc.QOC 6.5ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7HYHyster-Yale, Inc.QOC 6.5HYFMHydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc.QOC 4.6FSSFederal Signal CorporationQOC 8.9TEXTerex CorporationQOC 8.4BLBDBlue Bird CorporationQOC 9.4CATCaterpillar Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: AEBI · TWI · CNH · XOS · ASTE · HY · HYFM · FSS · TEX · BLBD · CAT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ARTW?

7 companies across all industries closest to ARTW’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

LUNGPulmonx CorporationQOC 7.2RECTRectitude Holdings LtdQOC 7.2ROOTRoot, Inc.QOC 7.2ALHCAlignment Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.2MRDNMeridian Holdings Inc.QOC 7.2TKCTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.QOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: LUNG · RECT · ROOT · ALHC · MRDN · TKC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW)'s intrinsic value at $1.42 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.40 to $4.66. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ARTW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.90, 3 of 9 active models suggest ARTW may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $1.42, 51.0% below the current price of $2.90 — a consensus view that ARTW is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s business model in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for ARTW?

Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ARTW?

CirclFi analyzes ARTW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ARTW?

Of the 9 models currently active on ARTW, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $4.66 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.40. CirclFi's published fair value for ARTW is the median of that range, $1.42, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 300% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ARTW a value trap in 2026?

Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW) has a median fair value of $1.42 — 51.0% below the current price of $2.90 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ARTW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ARTW valuation
  • Financial statements: Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000007623) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ARTW as of ; valuations recomputed .

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