Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) Fair Value 2026

CMCO · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) trades at $18.39, versus a $81.82 median fair value across its 2 active models — 344.9% above the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CMCO
Price
$18.39
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +376.5% upside with 49% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $81.82, 344.9% above the current price of $18.39. Estimates range from $76.00 to $87.64. CMCO scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CMCO’s +344.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector median is -8.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Columbus McKinnon Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CMCO?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
$87.64 +376.5%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$76.00 +313.3%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Columbus McKinnon Corporation is potentially undervalued at its current price of $18.39. Based on our 13-model framework, Columbus McKinnon Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $81.82 — representing +344.9% implied upside — with 2 out of 2 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $87.64 (+376.5%), versus PWERM at $76.00 (+313.3%). This +63.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CMCO?

2 of 13 models are currently active for CMCO. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for CMCO is $81.82 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CMCO Rank in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery?

Among 28 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, CMCO ranks #22 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial enterprise businesses. For Columbus McKinnon Corporation, metrics like order backlog depth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CMCO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CMCO a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Columbus McKinnon Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Columbus McKinnon Corporation scores 5.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +63.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CMCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CMCO's 2 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Columbus McKinnon Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: BNC · CLEV · HY · HYFM · XOS · NMHI · BLBD · PCAR · CNH · CAT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CMCO?

7 companies across all industries closest to CMCO’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

Read investment analysis: RYTM · AGL · BRN · FTCO · JBDI · CCG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Columbus McKinnon Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Columbus McKinnon Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO)'s intrinsic value at $81.82 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $76.00 to $87.64. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CMCO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.39, 2 of 2 active models suggest CMCO may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $81.82, 344.9% above the current price of $18.39 — a consensus view that CMCO is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Columbus McKinnon Corporation's business model in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for CMCO?

Columbus McKinnon Corporation's QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CMCO?

CirclFi analyzes CMCO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CMCO a value trap in 2026?

Columbus McKinnon Corporation's Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Columbus McKinnon Corporation (CMCO) has a median fair value of $81.82 — 344.9% above the current price of $18.39 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CMCO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CMCO valuation
  • Financial statements: Columbus McKinnon Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001005229) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CMCO as of ; valuations recomputed .