Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY) Fair Value 2026

HY · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY) trades at $33.97, versus a $41.04 median fair value across its 7 active models — 20.8% above the current price. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $23.24.

Key Facts

Ticker
HY
Price
$33.97
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +20.8% upside with 14% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $41.04, 20.8% above the current price of $33.97. Estimates range from $2.99 to $84.75. HY scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HY’s +20.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector median is -14.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hyster-Yale, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HY?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($33.97)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $23.24 -31.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $41.04 +20.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $2.99 -91.2%
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What Is HY's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $2.99 to $84.75

CirclFi's 7 active models place Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY) between $2.99 and $84.75 per share, a spread of 199% of the median. The median of that range — $41.04 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HY, against a current price of $33.97.

Low · First ChicagoHigh · FTNN
$2.99median $41.04$84.75
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFirst Chicago$2.99
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$84.75
Model agreement4 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HY. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HY, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hyster-Yale, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $41.04, suggesting a +20.8% median upside from the current price of $33.97. While 4 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $84.75 (+149.5%), versus First Chicago at $2.99 (-91.2%). This +240.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About HY?

7 of 13 models are currently active for HY. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HY is $41.04 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $23.24 on its own, implying -31.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HY Rank in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery?

Among 28 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, HY ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery space, Hyster-Yale, Inc. competes in an environment where aftermarket revenue mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is HY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HY a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Hyster-Yale, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Hyster-Yale, Inc. is rated at 6.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +240.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HY's 7 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hyster-Yale, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

XOSXos, Inc.QOC 6.5BNCCEA Industries Inc.QOC 6.0TWITitan International, Inc.QOC 7.1CMCOColumbus McKinnon CorporationQOC 5.9ARTWArt's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.QOC 7.2CLEVConcrete Leveling Systems, Inc.QOC 5.0HCAIHuachen AI Parking Management Technology Holding Co., LtdQOC 2.6GENCGencor Industries, Inc.QOC 8.6MTWThe Manitowoc Company, Inc.QOC 7.7BLBDBlue Bird CorporationQOC 9.4CATCaterpillar Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: XOS · BNC · TWI · CMCO · ARTW · CLEV · HCAI · GENC · MTW · BLBD · CAT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HY?

7 companies across all industries closest to HY’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

ALARAlarum Technologies Ltd.QOC 6.5CLOVClover Health Investments, Corp.QOC 6.5BIDUBaidu, Inc.QOC 6.5IPInternational Paper CompanyQOC 6.5CVUCPI Aerostructures, Inc.QOC 6.5FLRFluor CorporationQOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ALAR · CLOV · BIDU · IP · CVU · FLR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hyster-Yale, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Hyster-Yale, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY)'s intrinsic value at $41.04 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.99 to $84.75. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $23.24 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $33.97, 4 of 7 active models suggest HY may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $41.04, 20.8% above the current price of $33.97 — a consensus view that HY is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hyster-Yale, Inc.'s business model in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for HY?

Hyster-Yale, Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HY?

CirclFi analyzes HY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HY?

Of the 7 models currently active on HY, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $84.75 per share, and First Chicago is the most bearish at $2.99. CirclFi's published fair value for HY is the median of that range, $41.04, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 199% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HY a value trap in 2026?

Hyster-Yale, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Hyster-Yale, Inc. (HY) has a median fair value of $41.04 — 20.8% above the current price of $33.97 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HY valuation
  • Financial statements: Hyster-Yale, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001173514) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HY as of ; valuations recomputed .

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