Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) Fair Value 2026

GENC · Construction Machinery & Equip ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) trades at $15.37, approximately 94% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.93. QOC: 9.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GENC
Price
$15.37
Quality Score
9.7/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.7/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $7.93 -48.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $7.14 -53.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $11.67 -24.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $10.79 -29.8%

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What Is Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gencor Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $14.37, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $15.37. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-6.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $42.20 (+174.6%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $7.14 (-53.5%). This +228.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Gencor Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About GENC?

12 of 13 models are currently active for GENC. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GENC's intrinsic value at $7.93, implying -48.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GENC Rank in Construction Machinery & Equip?

Among 6 Construction Machinery & Equip stocks, GENC ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.7 places GENC in the top tier.

As a industrial sector, Gencor Industries, Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating GENC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is GENC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GENC a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Gencor Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Gencor Industries, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.7/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +228.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GENC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GENC's 12 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gencor Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Construction Machinery & Equip Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Construction Machinery & Equip stocks with 13-model coverage

CATCaterpillar, Inc.QOC 9.3MTWManitowoc Company, Inc. (The)QOC 8.0ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7CMCOColumbus McKinnon CorporationQOC 5.5CNHCNH Industrial N.V.QOC 2.6

Read investment analysis: CAT · MTW · ASTE · CMCO · CNH

Frequently Asked Questions About Gencor Industries, Inc.

What is Gencor Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $7.93. The Quality of Company score is 9.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GENC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.37, 3 of 12 active models suggest GENC may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gencor Industries, Inc.'s business model in Construction Machinery & Equip.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.7 mean for GENC?

Gencor Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 9.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GENC?

CirclFi analyzes GENC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GENC a value trap in 2026?

Gencor Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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