Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) Fair Value 2026

GENC · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) trades at $19.08, versus a $11.62 median fair value across its 11 active models — 39.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $3.45.

Key Facts

Ticker
GENC
Price
$19.08
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +13.9% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $11.62, 39.1% below the current price of $19.08. Estimates range from $3.45 to $21.74. GENC scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GENC’s -39.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector median is -8.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Gencor Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GENC?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.08)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.45 -81.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.51 -60.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $11.62 -39.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $21.74 +13.9%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is GENC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $3.45 to $21.74

CirclFi's 11 active models place Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) between $3.45 and $21.74 per share, a spread of 157% of the median. The median of that range — $11.62 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GENC, against a current price of $19.08.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · First Chicago
$3.45median $11.62$21.74
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$3.45
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$21.74
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GENC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GENC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Gencor Industries, Inc. at its current price of $19.08. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $11.62 (-39.1% vs price), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $21.74 (+13.9%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $3.45 (-81.9%). This +95.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Gencor Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GENC?

11 of 13 models are currently active for GENC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GENC is $11.62 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $3.45 on its own, implying -81.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GENC Rank in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery?

Among 28 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, GENC ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places GENC in the top tier.

As a industrial sector, Gencor Industries, Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating GENC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is GENC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GENC a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Gencor Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Gencor Industries, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +95.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GENC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GENC's 11 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gencor Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

LNNLindsay CorporationQOC 8.8ALGAlamo Group Inc.QOC 8.6OSKOshkosh CorporationQOC 8.8PCARPACCAR IncQOC 8.5FSSFederal Signal CorporationQOC 8.9DEDeere & CompanyQOC 8.5MTWThe Manitowoc Company, Inc.QOC 7.7HYHyster-Yale, Inc.QOC 6.5HCAIHuachen AI Parking Management Technology Holding Co., LtdQOC 2.6BLBDBlue Bird CorporationQOC 9.4CATCaterpillar Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: LNN · ALG · OSK · PCAR · FSS · DE · MTW · HY · HCAI · BLBD · CAT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GENC?

7 companies across all industries closest to GENC’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

ORCOrchid Island Capital, Inc.QOC 8.6BABBBAB, Inc.QOC 8.6BMRNBioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.QOC 8.6MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.QOC 8.6TSTenaris S.A.QOC 8.6REGRegency Centers CorporationQOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ORC · BABB · BMRN · MELI · TS · REG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Gencor Industries, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Gencor Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC)'s intrinsic value at $11.62 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.45 to $21.74. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $3.45 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GENC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.08, 2 of 11 active models suggest GENC may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $11.62, 39.1% below the current price of $19.08 — a consensus view that GENC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gencor Industries, Inc.'s business model in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for GENC?

Gencor Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GENC?

CirclFi analyzes GENC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GENC?

Of the 11 models currently active on GENC, First Chicago is the most bullish at $21.74 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $3.45. CirclFi's published fair value for GENC is the median of that range, $11.62, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 157% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GENC a value trap in 2026?

Gencor Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) has a median fair value of $11.62 — 39.1% below the current price of $19.08 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GENC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GENC valuation
  • Financial statements: Gencor Industries, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000064472) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GENC as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on GENC.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for GENC Unlock All 11 — $39/mo