The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) Fair Value 2026

MTW · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) trades at $19.01, versus a $22.99 median fair value across its 10 active models — 20.9% above the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MTW
Price
$19.01
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +111.8% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $22.99, 20.9% above the current price of $19.01. Estimates range from $2.79 to $41.96. MTW scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 10/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. MTW’s +20.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector median is -8.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Manitowoc Company, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MTW?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $20.92 +10.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $40.27 +111.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.60 -49.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.79 -85.3%
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What Is MTW's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $2.79 to $41.96

CirclFi's 10 active models place The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) between $2.79 and $41.96 per share, a spread of 170% of the median. The median of that range — $22.99 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MTW, against a current price of $19.01.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$2.79median $22.99$41.96
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$2.79
Most bullish modelPWERM$41.96
Model agreement6 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MTW. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MTW, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Manitowoc Company, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $22.99, suggesting a +20.9% median upside from the current price of $19.01. While 6 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $41.96 (+120.7%), versus ML-RIV at $2.79 (-85.3%). This +206.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About MTW?

10 of 13 models are currently active for MTW. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MTW is $22.99 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MTW Rank in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery?

Among 28 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, MTW ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

The Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial enterprise businesses. For The Manitowoc Company, Inc., metrics like book-to-bill ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is MTW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MTW a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for The Manitowoc Company, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, The Manitowoc Company, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.7/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +206.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MTW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MTW's 10 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Manitowoc Company, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

WNCWabash National CorporationQOC 8.1ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7AGCOAGCO CorporationQOC 8.3CNHCNH Industrial N.V.QOC 7.6TEXTerex CorporationQOC 8.4AEBIAebi Schmidt Holding AGQOC 7.2HYHyster-Yale, Inc.QOC 6.5HCAIHuachen AI Parking Management Technology Holding Co., LtdQOC 2.6GENCGencor Industries, Inc.QOC 8.6BLBDBlue Bird CorporationQOC 9.4CATCaterpillar Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: WNC · ASTE · AGCO · CNH · TEX · AEBI · HY · HCAI · GENC · BLBD · CAT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MTW?

7 companies across all industries closest to MTW’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

AIGAmerican International Group, Inc.QOC 7.7EVTCEVERTEC, Inc.QOC 7.7SSLSasol LimitedQOC 7.7FMNBFarmers National Banc Corp.QOC 7.7GEOThe GEO Group, Inc.QOC 7.7BLLNBillionToOne, Inc.QOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AIG · EVTC · SSL · FMNB · GEO · BLLN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About The Manitowoc Company, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is The Manitowoc Company, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW)'s intrinsic value at $22.99 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.79 to $41.96. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MTW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.01, 6 of 10 active models suggest MTW may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $22.99, 20.9% above the current price of $19.01 — a consensus view that MTW is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Manitowoc Company, Inc.'s business model in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for MTW?

The Manitowoc Company, Inc.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MTW?

CirclFi analyzes MTW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MTW?

Of the 10 models currently active on MTW, PWERM is the most bullish at $41.96 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $2.79. CirclFi's published fair value for MTW is the median of that range, $22.99, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 170% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MTW a value trap in 2026?

The Manitowoc Company, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) has a median fair value of $22.99 — 20.9% above the current price of $19.01 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MTW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MTW valuation
  • Financial statements: The Manitowoc Company, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000061986) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MTW as of ; valuations recomputed .

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