Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) (MTW) Fair Value 2026

MTW · Construction Machinery & Equip ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) (MTW) trades at $12.71, approximately 891% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.28. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MTW
Price
$12.71
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $1.28 -89.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $0.75 -94.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $8.98 -29.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $11.78 -7.3%

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What Is Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) (MTW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $11.13. Trading at $12.72, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -12.5%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $34.14 (+168.5%), versus Regime Cross at $0.73 (-94.3%). This +262.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About MTW?

13 of 13 models are currently active for MTW. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MTW's intrinsic value at $1.28, implying -89.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MTW Rank in Construction Machinery & Equip?

Among 6 Construction Machinery & Equip stocks, MTW ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 indicates above-average quality.

The Construction Machinery & Equip sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial enterprise businesses. For Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The), metrics like book-to-bill ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is MTW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MTW a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) earns a quality score of 8.0/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +262.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MTW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MTW's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Construction Machinery & Equip Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Construction Machinery & Equip stocks with 13-model coverage

GENCGencor Industries, Inc.QOC 9.7CATCaterpillar, Inc.QOC 9.3ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7CMCOColumbus McKinnon CorporationQOC 5.5CNHCNH Industrial N.V.QOC 2.6

Read investment analysis: GENC · CAT · ASTE · CMCO · CNH

Frequently Asked Questions About Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)

What is Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The) (MTW) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.28. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MTW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.71, 4 of 13 active models suggest MTW may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)'s business model in Construction Machinery & Equip.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for MTW?

Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MTW?

CirclFi analyzes MTW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MTW a value trap in 2026?

Manitowoc Company, Inc. (The)'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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