What Is Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Astec Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $24.39, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $55.82. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-56.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +3.1% (fair value: $57.56), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -91.0% ($5.02). The spread between these extremes — +94.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ASTE?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ASTE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ASTE's intrinsic value at $18.57, implying -66.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ASTE Rank in Construction Machinery & Equip?
Among 6 Construction Machinery & Equip stocks, ASTE ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.
As a manufacturing company, Astec Industries, Inc. operates in a sector where book-to-bill ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ASTE should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is ASTE a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ASTE a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Astec Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Astec Industries, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +94.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ASTE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ASTE's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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