Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Fair Value 2026

WNC · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Wabash National Corporation (WNC) trades at $13.33, versus a $40.23 median fair value across its 7 active models — 201.8% above the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
WNC
Price
$13.33
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +260.3% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Wabash National Corporation (WNC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $40.23, 201.8% above the current price of $13.33. Estimates range from $6.92 to $71.89. WNC scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. WNC’s +201.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector median is -14.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Wabash National Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WNC?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.33)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $48.03 +260.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $28.54 +114.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.92 -48.1%
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What Is WNC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $6.92 to $71.89

CirclFi's 7 active models place Wabash National Corporation (WNC) between $6.92 and $71.89 per share, a spread of 162% of the median. The median of that range — $40.23 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WNC, against a current price of $13.33.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · FTNN
$6.92median $40.23$71.89
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$6.92
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$71.89
Model agreement5 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WNC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WNC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Wabash National Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $40.23. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $13.33 (implied upside of +201.8%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 7 bullish models. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +439.3% (fair value: $71.89), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -48.1% ($6.92). The spread between these extremes — +487.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About WNC?

7 of 13 models are currently active for WNC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WNC is $40.23 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WNC Rank in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery?

Among 28 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, WNC ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places WNC in the top tier.

The Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For Wabash National Corporation, metrics like aftermarket revenue mix provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is WNC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WNC a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Wabash National Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Wabash National Corporation earns a quality score of 8.1/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +487.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WNC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WNC's 7 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Wabash National Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

AGCOAGCO CorporationQOC 8.3MTWThe Manitowoc Company, Inc.QOC 7.7TEXTerex CorporationQOC 8.4ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.QOC 7.7DEDeere & CompanyQOC 8.5CNHCNH Industrial N.V.QOC 7.6XOSXos, Inc.QOC 6.5SCAGScage FutureQOC 2.7LNNLindsay CorporationQOC 8.8BLBDBlue Bird CorporationQOC 9.4CATCaterpillar Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: AGCO · MTW · TEX · ASTE · DE · CNH · XOS · SCAG · LNN · BLBD · CAT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WNC?

7 companies across all industries closest to WNC’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

PATKPatrick Industries, Inc.QOC 8.1NENoble Corporation plcQOC 8.1CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.QOC 8.1UHTUniversal Health Realty Income TrustQOC 8.1GTECGreenland Technologies Holding CorporationQOC 8.1ACTGAcacia Research CorporationQOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PATK · NE · CSGP · UHT · GTEC · ACTG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Wabash National Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Wabash National Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Wabash National Corporation (WNC)'s intrinsic value at $40.23 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $6.92 to $71.89. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WNC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.33, 5 of 7 active models suggest WNC may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $40.23, 201.8% above the current price of $13.33 — a consensus view that WNC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Wabash National Corporation's business model in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for WNC?

Wabash National Corporation's QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WNC?

CirclFi analyzes WNC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WNC?

Of the 7 models currently active on WNC, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $71.89 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $6.92. CirclFi's published fair value for WNC is the median of that range, $40.23, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 162% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WNC a value trap in 2026?

Wabash National Corporation's Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Wabash National Corporation (WNC) has a median fair value of $40.23 — 201.8% above the current price of $13.33 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WNC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WNC valuation
  • Financial statements: Wabash National Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000879526) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WNC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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