What Is Deere & Company (DE) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Deere & Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $449.58, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $585.77. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-23.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $1,185.23 (+102.3%), versus EROIC at $126.86 (-78.3%). This +180.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About DE?
12 of 13 models are currently active for DE. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DE's intrinsic value at $419.49, implying -28.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does DE Rank in Farm Machinery & Equipment?
Among 2 Farm Machinery & Equipment stocks, DE ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places DE in the top tier.
Within the Farm Machinery & Equipment space, Deere & Company competes in an environment where organic revenue growth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is DE a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DE a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Deere & Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Deere & Company is rated at 8.9/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +180.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every DE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across DE's 12 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →