Titan International, Inc. (TWI) Fair Value 2026

TWI · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Titan International, Inc. (TWI) trades at $7.03, versus a $8.17 median fair value across its 9 active models — 16.2% above the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TWI
Price
$7.03
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +16.2% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Titan International, Inc. (TWI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Titan International, Inc. (TWI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $8.17, 16.2% above the current price of $7.03. Estimates range from $0.75 to $18.21. TWI scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. TWI’s +16.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery sector median is -16.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Titan International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TWI?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.03)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.85 -87.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $8.17 +16.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.04 -71.0%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $0.75 -89.3%
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What Is TWI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $0.75 to $18.21

CirclFi's 9 active models place Titan International, Inc. (TWI) between $0.75 and $18.21 per share, a spread of 214% of the median. The median of that range — $8.17 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TWI, against a current price of $7.03.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · PWERM
$0.75median $8.17$18.21
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.75
Most bullish modelPWERM$18.21
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TWI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TWI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Titan International, Inc. (TWI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Titan International, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $8.17. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $7.03 (implied upside of +16.2%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 9 bullish models. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +159.0% (fair value: $18.21), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -89.3% ($0.75). The spread between these extremes — +248.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TWI?

9 of 13 models are currently active for TWI. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TWI is $8.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TWI Rank in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery?

Among 28 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, TWI ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

Titan International, Inc.'s positioning within the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery segment means that capacity utilization rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TWI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TWI a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Titan International, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Titan International, Inc. scores 7.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +248.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TWI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TWI's 9 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Titan International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks with 13-model coverage

ARTWArt's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.QOC 7.2XOSXos, Inc.QOC 6.5AEBIAebi Schmidt Holding AGQOC 7.2HYHyster-Yale, Inc.QOC 6.5CNHCNH Industrial N.V.QOC 7.6CMCOColumbus McKinnon CorporationQOC 5.9NMHINature's Miracle Holding Inc.QOC 3.5OSKOshkosh CorporationQOC 8.8AGCOAGCO CorporationQOC 8.3BLBDBlue Bird CorporationQOC 9.4CATCaterpillar Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: ARTW · XOS · AEBI · HY · CNH · CMCO · NMHI · OSK · AGCO · BLBD · CAT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TWI?

7 companies across all industries closest to TWI’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

PTLOPortillo's Inc.QOC 7.1KVYOKlaviyo, Inc.QOC 7.1DSPViant Technology Inc.QOC 7.1KLTRKaltura, Inc.QOC 7.1CIBGrupo Cibest S.A.QOC 7.1ZTGZenta Group Company LimitedQOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PTLO · KVYO · DSP · KLTR · CIB · ZTG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Titan International, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Titan International, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Titan International, Inc. (TWI)'s intrinsic value at $8.17 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.75 to $18.21. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TWI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.03, 5 of 9 active models suggest TWI may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $8.17, 16.2% above the current price of $7.03 — a consensus view that TWI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Titan International, Inc.'s business model in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for TWI?

Titan International, Inc.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TWI?

CirclFi analyzes TWI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TWI?

Of the 9 models currently active on TWI, PWERM is the most bullish at $18.21 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.75. CirclFi's published fair value for TWI is the median of that range, $8.17, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 214% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TWI a value trap in 2026?

Titan International, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Titan International, Inc. (TWI) has a median fair value of $8.17 — 16.2% above the current price of $7.03 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TWI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TWI valuation
  • Financial statements: Titan International, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000899751) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TWI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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