Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN) Fair Value 2026

TEN · Oil & Gas Midstream ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

DANGER (61/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN) trades at $42.52, versus a $64.27 median fair value across its 11 active models — 51.1% above the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 61/100 (DANGER). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TEN
Price
$42.52
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
61/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +415.7% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 61 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $64.27, 51.1% above the current price of $42.52. Estimates range from $23.34 to $219.29. TEN scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 61/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TEN’s +51.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Midstream sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TEN?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($42.52)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $31.96 -24.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $65.42 +53.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $219.29 +415.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $62.43 +46.8%
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What Is TEN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $23.34 to $219.29

CirclFi's 11 active models place Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN) between $23.34 and $219.29 per share, a spread of 305% of the median. The median of that range — $64.27 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TEN, against a current price of $42.52.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · First Chicago
$23.34median $64.27$219.29
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$23.34
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$219.29
Model agreement7 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TEN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TEN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited at $42.52. With an estimated intrinsic value of $64.27 and 7 of 11 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +51.1%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $219.29 (+415.7%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $23.34 (-45.1%). This +460.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TEN?

11 of 13 models are currently active for TEN. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TEN is $64.27 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TEN Rank in Oil & Gas Midstream?

Among 55 Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, TEN ranks #37 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks →

As a energy sector, Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited operates in a sector where production decline rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating TEN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is TEN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TEN a score of 61/100 (DANGER). This is a high-risk signal. Deteriorating fundamentals suggest the discount may be justified. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited is rated at 6.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. Notably, value trap risk is elevated.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +460.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TEN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TEN's 11 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Midstream stocks with 13-model coverage

VNOMViper Energy, Inc.QOC 6.7GELGenesis Energy, L.P.QOC 6.3NATNordic American Tankers LimitedQOC 6.7MMLPMartin Midstream Partners L.P.QOC 6.1KNOPKNOT Offshore Partners LPQOC 7.1NGLNGL Energy Partners LPQOC 5.8TKTeekay Corporation Ltd.QOC 3.1NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd.QOC 8.4EEExcelerate Energy, Inc.QOC 7.9HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: VNOM · GEL · NAT · MMLP · KNOP · NGL · TK · NVGS · EE · HESM · FLNG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TEN?

7 companies across all industries closest to TEN’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

CLSKCleanSpark, Inc.QOC 6.4SMHISEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.QOC 6.4GTLLGlobal Technologies, Ltd.QOC 6.4PFXPhenixFIN CorporationQOC 6.4TTGTTechTarget, Inc.QOC 6.4VTRVentas, Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CLSK · SMHI · GTLL · PFX · TTGT · VTR · NVDA

Where Does TEN Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas Midstream Rankings?

TEN is ranked against every other Oil & Gas Midstream stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas Midstream stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited’s Valuation?

What is Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN)'s intrinsic value at $64.27 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $23.34 to $219.29. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TEN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $42.52, 7 of 11 active models suggest TEN may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $64.27, 51.1% above the current price of $42.52 — a consensus view that TEN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited's business model in Oil & Gas Midstream.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for TEN?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited's QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TEN?

CirclFi analyzes TEN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TEN?

Of the 11 models currently active on TEN, First Chicago is the most bullish at $219.29 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $23.34. CirclFi's published fair value for TEN is the median of that range, $64.27, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 305% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TEN a value trap in 2026?

Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited's Value Trap score is 61/100 (DANGER). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TEN) has a median fair value of $64.27 — 51.1% above the current price of $42.52 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TEN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TEN valuation
  • Financial statements: Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001166663) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TEN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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