Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Fair Value 2026

NAT · Water Transportation ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) trades at $6.09, approximately 1% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.01. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NAT
Price
$6.09
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +143.0% upside with 43% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.09)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$6.01 -1.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$1.28 -78.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$5.93 -2.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$14.80 +143.0%

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What Is Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nordic American Tankers Limited presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $6.09. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $5.50 (-9.7% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 3 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $14.80 (+143.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $0.88 (-85.5%). This +228.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About NAT?

12 of 13 models are currently active for NAT. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NAT's intrinsic value at $6.01, implying -1.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NAT Rank in Water Transportation?

Among 23 Water Transportation stocks, NAT ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places NAT in the top tier.

As a power and energy company, Nordic American Tankers Limited operates in a sector where customer growth rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NAT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NAT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NAT a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Nordic American Tankers Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Nordic American Tankers Limited is rated at 8.7/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +228.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NAT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NAT's 12 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Nordic American Tankers Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Water Transportation Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Water Transportation stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: FLNG · TNK · KEX · DLNG · TDW

Frequently Asked Questions About Nordic American Tankers Limited

What is Nordic American Tankers Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $6.01. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NAT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.09, 4 of 12 active models suggest NAT may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Nordic American Tankers Limited's business model in Water Transportation.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for NAT?

Nordic American Tankers Limited's QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NAT?

CirclFi analyzes NAT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NAT a value trap in 2026?

Nordic American Tankers Limited's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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