What Is Genesis Energy, L.P. (GEL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Genesis Energy, L.P.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $16.45, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $14.69. While the average implied return is +12.0%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +220.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $36.67 (+149.6%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $4.22 (-71.3%). This +220.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Genesis Energy, L.P.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About GEL?
10 of 13 models are currently active for GEL. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GEL Rank in Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas)?
Among 6 Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas) stocks, GEL ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.
Genesis Energy, L.P.'s positioning within the Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas) segment means that production decline rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including capital discipline — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is GEL a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GEL a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for Genesis Energy, L.P.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Genesis Energy, L.P. scores 6.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +220.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GEL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GEL's 10 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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