Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. (DKL) Fair Value 2026

DKL · Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. (DKL) trades at $55.03, approximately 359% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $11.99. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DKL
Price
$55.03
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +59.0% upside with 51% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($55.03)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$11.99 -78.2%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$8.58 -84.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$60.32 +9.6%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$87.52 +59.0%

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What Is Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. (DKL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $57.03, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $55.03. While the average implied return is +3.6%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +391.0% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $220.52 (+300.7%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $5.33 (-90.3%). This +391.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About DKL?

11 of 13 models are currently active for DKL. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DKL's intrinsic value at $11.99, implying -78.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DKL Rank in Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas)?

Among 6 Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas) stocks, DKL ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

As a energy sector, Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating DKL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is DKL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DKL a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. is rated at 7.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +391.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DKL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DKL's 11 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: SOBO · DINO · ENB · MPLX · GEL

Frequently Asked Questions About Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.

What is Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. (DKL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $11.99. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DKL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $55.03, 5 of 11 active models suggest DKL may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.'s business model in Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas).

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for DKL?

Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.'s QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DKL?

CirclFi analyzes DKL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DKL a value trap in 2026?

Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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