Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) Fair Value 2026

DKL · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) trades at $54.79, versus a $31.91 median fair value across its 8 active models — 41.8% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DKL
Price
$54.79
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +1.1% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $31.91, 41.8% below the current price of $54.79. Estimates range from $9.53 to $75.47. DKL scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. DKL’s -41.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector median is -25.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Delek Logistics Partners, LP Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DKL?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($54.79)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.53 -82.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $32.04 -41.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $31.79 -42.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $55.42 +1.1%
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What Is DKL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $9.53 to $75.47

CirclFi's 8 active models place Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) between $9.53 and $75.47 per share, a spread of 207% of the median. The median of that range — $31.91 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DKL, against a current price of $54.79.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$9.53median $31.91$75.47
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$9.53
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$75.47
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for DKL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DKL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Delek Logistics Partners, LP's intrinsic value is estimated at $31.91, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $54.79. With 6 out of 8 models flagging downside (-41.8% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $75.47 (+37.7%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $9.53 (-82.6%). This +120.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Delek Logistics Partners, LP's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About DKL?

8 of 13 models are currently active for DKL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for DKL is $31.91 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DKL Rank in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing?

Among 19 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, DKL ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

As a energy sector, Delek Logistics Partners, LP operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating DKL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is DKL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DKL a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Delek Logistics Partners, LP. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Delek Logistics Partners, LP is rated at 6.8/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DKL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DKL's 8 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Delek Logistics Partners, LP Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks with 13-model coverage

CAPLCrossAmerica Partners LPQOC 7.1BDCOBlue Dolphin Energy CompanyQOC 6.6CVICVR Energy, Inc.QOC 7.3CSANCosan S.A.QOC 6.6WKCWorld Kinect CorporationQOC 7.4CLNEClean Energy Fuels Corp.QOC 6.5FGPRFerrellgas Partners, L.P.QOC 6.0MPCMarathon Petroleum CorporationQOC 8.5SUNSunoco LPQOC 7.7UGPUltrapar Participações S.A.QOC 8.8PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: CAPL · BDCO · CVI · CSAN · WKC · CLNE · FGPR · MPC · SUN · UGP · PARR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DKL?

7 companies across all industries closest to DKL’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

WRLDWorld Acceptance CorporationQOC 6.8KOPNKopin CorporationQOC 6.8CLRICleartronic, Inc.QOC 6.8NXQuanex Building Products CorporationQOC 6.8BVBrightView Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.8VSHVishay Intertechnology, Inc.QOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WRLD · KOPN · CLRI · NX · BV · VSH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Delek Logistics Partners, LP’s Valuation?

What is Delek Logistics Partners, LP's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL)'s intrinsic value at $31.91 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.53 to $75.47. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DKL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $54.79, 2 of 8 active models suggest DKL may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $31.91, 41.8% below the current price of $54.79 — a consensus view that DKL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Delek Logistics Partners, LP's business model in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for DKL?

Delek Logistics Partners, LP's QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DKL?

CirclFi analyzes DKL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DKL?

Of the 8 models currently active on DKL, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $75.47 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $9.53. CirclFi's published fair value for DKL is the median of that range, $31.91, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 207% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DKL a value trap in 2026?

Delek Logistics Partners, LP's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Delek Logistics Partners, LP (DKL) has a median fair value of $31.91 — 41.8% below the current price of $54.79 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DKL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DKL valuation
  • Financial statements: Delek Logistics Partners, LP 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001552797) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DKL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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