FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) Fair Value 2026

FLNG · Oil & Gas Midstream ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) trades at $31.32, versus a $23.91 median fair value across its 13 active models — 23.6% below the current price. QOC: 9.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $108.14.

Key Facts

Ticker
FLNG
Price
$31.32
Quality Score
9.0/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +245.3% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Is FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $23.91, 23.6% below the current price of $31.32. Estimates range from $0.99 to $108.14. FLNG scores 9.0/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. FLNG’s -23.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Midstream sector median is -9.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy FLEX LNG Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FLNG?

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($31.32)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $108.14 +245.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $22.78 -27.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $37.12 +18.5%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $49.22 +57.2%
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What Is FLNG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 13 independent models · $0.99 to $108.14

CirclFi's 13 active models place FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) between $0.99 and $108.14 per share, a spread of 448% of the median. The median of that range — $23.91 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FLNG, against a current price of $31.32.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$0.99median $23.91$108.14
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.99
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$108.14
Model agreement6 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FLNG. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FLNG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, FLEX LNG Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $23.91, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $31.32. With a median implied return of -23.6% across a split 6–7 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +342.1% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +245.3% (fair value: $108.14), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -96.8% ($0.99). The spread between these extremes — +342.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FLNG?

13 of 13 models are currently active for FLNG. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FLNG is $23.91 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $108.14 on its own, implying +245.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FLNG Rank in Oil & Gas Midstream?

Among 53 Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, FLNG ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places FLNG in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks →

As a oil and gas company, FLEX LNG Ltd. operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FLNG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FLNG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FLNG a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for FLEX LNG Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, FLEX LNG Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +342.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FLNG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FLNG's 13 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy FLEX LNG Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Oil & Gas Midstream stocks with 13-model coverage

HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.QOC 8.9BANLCBL International LimitedQOC 2.5WESWestern Midstream Partners, LPQOC 8.8GLNGGolar LNG LimitedQOC 2.7LNGCheniere Energy, Inc.QOC 8.5TRGPTarga Resources Corp.QOC 8.2GLPGlobal Partners LPQOC 7.6SUNCSunocoCorp LLCQOC 5.8

Read investment analysis: HESM · CQP · BANL · WES · GLNG · LNG · TRGP · GLP · SUNC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FLNG?

7 companies across all industries closest to FLNG’s Quality of Company score of 9.0/10.

BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.QOC 9.0DTDynatrace, Inc.QOC 9.0ONCBeOne Medicines AGQOC 9.0PATHUiPath, Inc.QOC 9.0EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.QOC 9.0SCHWThe Charles Schwab CorporationQOC 9.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BKNG · DT · ONC · PATH · EXPE · SCHW · NVDA

Where Does FLNG Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas Midstream Rankings?

FLNG is ranked against every other Oil & Gas Midstream stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas Midstream stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About FLEX LNG Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is FLEX LNG Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG)'s intrinsic value at $23.91 — the median of 13 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.99 to $108.14. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $108.14 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FLNG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $31.32, 6 of 13 active models suggest FLNG may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $23.91, 23.6% below the current price of $31.32 — a consensus view that FLNG is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits FLEX LNG Ltd.'s business model in Oil & Gas Midstream.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.0 mean for FLNG?

FLEX LNG Ltd.'s QOC of 9.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FLNG?

CirclFi analyzes FLNG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FLNG?

Of the 13 models currently active on FLNG, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $108.14 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.99. CirclFi's published fair value for FLNG is the median of that range, $23.91, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 448% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FLNG a value trap in 2026?

FLEX LNG Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, FLEX LNG Ltd. (FLNG) has a median fair value of $23.91 — 23.6% below the current price of $31.32 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FLNG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FLNG valuation
  • Financial statements: FLEX LNG Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001772253) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FLNG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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