What Is Matson, Inc. (MATX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Matson, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $205.26. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $221.50 (+7.9% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 7 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $514.74 (+150.8%), versus Markov DDM at $25.33 (-87.7%). This +238.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About MATX?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MATX. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MATX's intrinsic value at $514.74, implying +150.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MATX Rank in Water Transportation?
Among 23 Water Transportation stocks, MATX ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places MATX in the top tier.
Matson, Inc.'s positioning within the Water Transportation segment means that capital investment plan plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including clean energy transition investment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is MATX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MATX a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Matson, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Matson, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.1/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +238.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MATX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MATX's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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