News Corporation (NWSA) Fair Value 2026

NWSA · Entertainment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, News Corporation (NWSA) trades at $31.19, versus a $21.38 median fair value across its 10 active models — 31.5% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $25.96.

Key Facts

Ticker
NWSA
Price
$31.19
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is News Corporation (NWSA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, News Corporation (NWSA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $21.38, 31.5% below the current price of $31.19. Estimates range from $3.79 to $41.44. NWSA scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NWSA’s -31.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Entertainment sector median is -27.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy News Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NWSA?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($31.19)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $25.96 -16.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.79 -87.9%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $20.98 -32.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.37 -50.7%
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What Is NWSA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $3.79 to $41.44

CirclFi's 10 active models place News Corporation (NWSA) between $3.79 and $41.44 per share, a spread of 176% of the median. The median of that range — $21.38 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NWSA, against a current price of $31.19.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$3.79median $21.38$41.44
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$3.79
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$41.44
Model agreement2 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NWSA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NWSA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is News Corporation (NWSA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on News Corporation at its current price of $31.19. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $21.38 (-31.5% vs price), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +32.9% (fair value: $41.44), while EPV is the most conservative at -87.9% ($3.79). The spread between these extremes — +120.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About NWSA?

10 of 13 models are currently active for NWSA. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NWSA is $21.38 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $25.96 on its own, implying -16.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NWSA Rank in Entertainment?

Among 53 Entertainment stocks, NWSA ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places NWSA in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Entertainment Stocks →

As a telecom operator, News Corporation operates in a sector where fiber/5G penetration is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NWSA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NWSA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NWSA a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for News Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, News Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NWSA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NWSA's 10 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy News Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Entertainment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Entertainment stocks with 13-model coverage

ROKURoku, Inc.QOC 8.4NWSNews CorporationQOC 8.4FOXFox CorporationQOC 8.5LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.QOC 8.2FOXAFox CorporationQOC 8.5DISThe Walt Disney CompanyQOC 8.2AMCXAMC Global Media Inc.QOC 7.2PSKYParamount Skydance CorporationQOC 5.7KUSTKustom Entertainment, Inc.QOC 4.9NFLXNetflix, Inc.QOC 9.8IMAXIMAX CorporationQOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: ROKU · NWS · FOX · LYV · FOXA · DIS · AMCX · PSKY · KUST · NFLX · IMAX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NWSA?

6 companies across all industries closest to NWSA’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

MATXMatson, Inc.QOC 8.4PKEPark Aerospace Corp.QOC 8.4SIGASIGA Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.4IDRIdaho Strategic Resources, Inc.QOC 8.4CXMSprinklr, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MATX · PKE · SIGA · IDR · CXM · NVDA

Where Does NWSA Sit in CirclFi's Entertainment Rankings?

NWSA is ranked against every other Entertainment stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Entertainment stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About News Corporation’s Valuation?

What is News Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts News Corporation (NWSA)'s intrinsic value at $21.38 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.79 to $41.44. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $25.96 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NWSA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $31.19, 2 of 10 active models suggest NWSA may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $21.38, 31.5% below the current price of $31.19 — a consensus view that NWSA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits News Corporation's business model in Entertainment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for NWSA?

News Corporation's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NWSA?

CirclFi analyzes NWSA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NWSA?

Of the 10 models currently active on NWSA, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $41.44 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $3.79. CirclFi's published fair value for NWSA is the median of that range, $21.38, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 176% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NWSA a value trap in 2026?

News Corporation's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, News Corporation (NWSA) has a median fair value of $21.38 — 31.5% below the current price of $31.19 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NWSA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NWSA valuation
  • Financial statements: News Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001564708) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NWSA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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