New York Times Company (The) (NYT) Fair Value 2026

NYT · Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, New York Times Company (The) (NYT) trades at $75.01, approximately 145% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $30.59. QOC: 9.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NYT
Price
$75.01
Quality Score
9.9/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.9/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($75.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$30.59 -59.2%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$16.90 -77.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$41.22 -45.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$59.03 -21.3%

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What Is New York Times Company (The) (NYT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, New York Times Company (The)'s intrinsic value is estimated at $45.66, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $75.01. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-39.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $98.94 (+31.9%), versus Dynamic NAV at $11.16 (-85.1%). This +117.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About NYT?

13 of 13 models are currently active for NYT. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NYT's intrinsic value at $30.59, implying -59.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NYT Rank in Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing?

Among 6 Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing stocks, NYT ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.9 places NYT in the top tier.

As a media and communications company, New York Times Company (The) operates in a sector where average revenue per user (ARPU) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NYT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NYT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NYT a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for New York Times Company (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, New York Times Company (The) is rated at 9.9/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +117.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NYT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NYT's 13 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy New York Times Company (The) Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: NWSA · NWS · DJCO · TDAY · LEE

Frequently Asked Questions About New York Times Company (The)

What is New York Times Company (The)'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, New York Times Company (The) (NYT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $30.59. The Quality of Company score is 9.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NYT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $75.01, 2 of 13 active models suggest NYT may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits New York Times Company (The)'s business model in Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.9 mean for NYT?

New York Times Company (The)'s QOC of 9.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NYT?

CirclFi analyzes NYT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NYT a value trap in 2026?

New York Times Company (The)'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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