USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) Fair Value 2026

TDAY · Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) trades at $8.59, approximately 9% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.90. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TDAY
Price
$8.59
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +20.8% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.59)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $7.90 -8.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $5.00 -41.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $6.96 -19.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $10.38 +20.8%

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What Is USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $6.63. Trading at $8.59, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -22.9%), as 8 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $16.35 (+90.4%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $0.16 (-98.1%). This +188.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TDAY?

12 of 13 models are currently active for TDAY. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TDAY's intrinsic value at $7.90, implying -8.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TDAY Rank in Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing?

Among 6 Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing stocks, TDAY ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s positioning within the Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing segment means that capital intensity ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including enterprise connectivity demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TDAY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TDAY a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for USA TODAY Co., Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, USA TODAY Co., Inc. earns a quality score of 6.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +188.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TDAY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TDAY's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy USA TODAY Co., Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing stocks with 13-model coverage

NYTNew York Times Company (The)QOC 9.9NWSANews CorporationQOC 8.4NWSNews CorporationQOC 8.4DJCODaily Journal Corp. (S.C.)QOC 8.1LEELee Enterprises, IncorporatedQOC 5.6

Read investment analysis: NYT · NWSA · NWS · DJCO · LEE

Frequently Asked Questions About USA TODAY Co., Inc.

What is USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $7.90. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TDAY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.59, 3 of 12 active models suggest TDAY may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s business model in Newspapers: Publishing or Publishing & Printing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for TDAY?

USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TDAY?

CirclFi analyzes TDAY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TDAY a value trap in 2026?

USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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