USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) Fair Value 2026

TDAY · Publishing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (36/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) trades at $6.40, versus a $5.94 median fair value across its 7 active models — 7.1% below the current price. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 36/100 (LOW). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $7.50.

Key Facts

Ticker
TDAY
Price
$6.40
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
36/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +17.1% upside with 74% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $5.94, within 7.1% of the current price of $6.40. Estimates range from $2.83 to $8.65. TDAY scores 6.1/10 on fundamental quality and 36/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TDAY’s -7.1% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy USA TODAY Co., Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TDAY?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.50 +17.1%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $5.94 -7.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.10 -36.0%
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What Is TDAY's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $2.83 to $8.65

CirclFi's 7 active models place USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) between $2.83 and $8.65 per share, a spread of 98% of the median. The median of that range — $5.94 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TDAY, against a current price of $6.40.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$2.83median $5.94$8.65
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$2.83
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$8.65
Model agreement3 bullish · 4 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TDAY, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $5.94. Trading at $6.40, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -7.1%), as 4 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Sentiment SOTP, places fair value at $8.65 (+35.2%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $2.83 (-55.8%). This +91.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About TDAY?

7 of 13 models are currently active for TDAY. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TDAY is $5.94 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $7.50 on its own, implying +17.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TDAY Rank in Publishing?

Among 9 Publishing stocks, TDAY ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s positioning within the Publishing segment means that capital intensity ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including enterprise connectivity demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TDAY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TDAY a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for USA TODAY Co., Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, USA TODAY Co., Inc. earns a quality score of 6.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TDAY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TDAY's 7 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy USA TODAY Co., Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Publishing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Publishing stocks with 13-model coverage

NYTThe New York Times CompanyQOC 9.4WLYBJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc.QOC 8.0WLYJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc.QOC 8.0SCHLScholastic CorporationQOC 7.8EDUCEducational Development CorporationQOC 7.5PSOPearson plcQOC 7.4LEELee Enterprises, IncorporatedQOC 5.2TNMGTNL MediageneQOC 2.4

Read investment analysis: NYT · WLYB · WLY · SCHL · EDUC · PSO · LEE · TNMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TDAY?

7 companies across all industries closest to TDAY’s Quality of Company score of 6.1/10.

DIBS1stdibs.Com, Inc.QOC 6.1SBFMSunshine Biopharma, Inc.QOC 6.1SALMSalem Media Group IncQOC 6.1CABOCable One, Inc.QOC 6.1IBRXImmunityBio, Inc.QOC 6.1IONQIonQ, Inc.QOC 6.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DIBS · SBFM · SALM · CABO · IBRX · IONQ · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About USA TODAY Co., Inc.’s Valuation?

What is USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY)'s intrinsic value at $5.94 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.83 to $8.65. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $7.50 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TDAY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.40, 3 of 7 active models suggest TDAY may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $5.94, within 7.1% of the current price of $6.40 — a consensus view that TDAY is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s business model in Publishing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for TDAY?

USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TDAY?

CirclFi analyzes TDAY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TDAY?

Of the 7 models currently active on TDAY, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $8.65 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $2.83. CirclFi's published fair value for TDAY is the median of that range, $5.94, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 98% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TDAY a value trap in 2026?

USA TODAY Co., Inc.'s Value Trap score is 36/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY) has a median fair value of $5.94 — within 7.1% of the current price of $6.40 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TDAY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TDAY valuation
  • Financial statements: USA TODAY Co., Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001579684) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TDAY as of ; valuations recomputed .

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