Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - (CD) Fair Value 2026

CD · Finance Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

1.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - (CD) trades at $3.04, approximately 580% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.45. QOC: 1.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CD
Price
$3.04
Quality Score
1.9/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +255.2% upside with 11% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 1.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.04)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.45 -85.3%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$0.05 -98.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.29 -57.4%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$10.80 +255.2%

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What Is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - (CD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - at its current price of $3.04. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $2.21 (-27.3% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $10.80 (+255.2%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $0.05 (-98.3%). This +353.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. -'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CD?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CD. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CD's intrinsic value at $0.45, implying -85.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CD Rank in Finance Services?

Among 118 Finance Services stocks, CD ranks #116 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 1.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 1.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Finance Services Stocks →

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CD a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. -. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - is rated at 1.9/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +353.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CD's 11 active models, average confidence is 13%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Finance Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Finance Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: QFIN · XYF · COIN · SII · JFIN

See all Finance Services stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. -

What is Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. -'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. - (CD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.45. The Quality of Company score is 1.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.04, 3 of 11 active models suggest CD may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. -'s business model in Finance Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 1.9 mean for CD?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. -'s QOC of 1.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CD?

CirclFi analyzes CD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CD a value trap in 2026?

Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. -'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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