Educational Development Corpora (EDUC) Fair Value 2026

EDUC · Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (49/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Educational Development Corpora (EDUC) trades at $1.48, approximately 77% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.55. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 49/100 (WARN). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EDUC
Price
$1.48
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
49/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +367.5% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 49 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.48)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$6.55 +342.8%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$3.69 +149.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$5.22 +252.9%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$6.92 +367.5%

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What Is Educational Development Corpora (EDUC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Educational Development Corpora's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $4.07. At a current market price of $1.48, 9 of 11 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +174.7%. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +484.0% (fair value: $8.64), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -81.1% ($0.28). The spread between these extremes — +565.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About EDUC?

11 of 13 models are currently active for EDUC. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates EDUC's intrinsic value at $6.55, implying +342.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EDUC Rank in Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods?

Among 6 Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods stocks, EDUC ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

Educational Development Corpora operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is EDUC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EDUC a score of 49/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Educational Development Corpora. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Educational Development Corpora is rated at 7.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +565.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EDUC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EDUC's 11 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Educational Development Corpora Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Educational Development Corpora

What is Educational Development Corpora's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Educational Development Corpora (EDUC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $6.55. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EDUC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.48, 9 of 11 active models suggest EDUC may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Educational Development Corpora's business model in Wholesale-Miscellaneous Nondurable Goods.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for EDUC?

Educational Development Corpora's QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EDUC?

CirclFi analyzes EDUC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is EDUC a value trap in 2026?

Educational Development Corpora's Value Trap score is 49/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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