Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) Fair Value 2026

EDUC · Publishing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) trades at $1.37, versus a $4.29 median fair value across its 9 active models — 212.9% above the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EDUC
Price
$1.37
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +448.3% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $4.29, 212.9% above the current price of $1.37. Estimates range from $2.51 to $7.51. EDUC scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. EDUC’s +212.9% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Educational Development Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give EDUC?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $4.80 +250.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $7.51 +448.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.21 +134.4%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $2.51 +83.2%
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What Is EDUC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $2.51 to $7.51

CirclFi's 9 active models place Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) between $2.51 and $7.51 per share, a spread of 117% of the median. The median of that range — $4.29 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for EDUC, against a current price of $1.37.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · First Chicago
$2.51median $4.29$7.51
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.51
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$7.51
Model agreement9 bullish · 0 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for EDUC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on EDUC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Educational Development Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.29. At a current market price of $1.37, 9 of 9 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +212.9%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +448.3% (fair value: $7.51), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at +83.2% ($2.51). The spread between these extremes — +365.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About EDUC?

9 of 13 models are currently active for EDUC. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for EDUC is $4.29 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EDUC Rank in Publishing?

Among 9 Publishing stocks, EDUC ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Publishing space, Educational Development Corporation competes in an environment where fiber/5G penetration often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is EDUC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EDUC a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Educational Development Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Educational Development Corporation is rated at 7.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +365.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EDUC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EDUC's 9 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Educational Development Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Publishing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Publishing stocks with 13-model coverage

NYTThe New York Times CompanyQOC 9.4WLYBJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc.QOC 8.0WLYJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc.QOC 8.0SCHLScholastic CorporationQOC 7.8PSOPearson plcQOC 7.4TDAYUSA TODAY Co., Inc.QOC 6.1LEELee Enterprises, IncorporatedQOC 5.2TNMGTNL MediageneQOC 2.4

Read investment analysis: NYT · WLYB · WLY · SCHL · PSO · TDAY · LEE · TNMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to EDUC?

7 companies across all industries closest to EDUC’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

MCMoelis & CompanyQOC 7.5LIFEEthos Technologies Inc.QOC 7.5LSTRLandstar System, Inc.QOC 7.5LDDDLongduoduo Company LimitedQOC 7.5LHAILinkhome Holdings Inc.QOC 7.5LITELumentum Holdings Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MC · LIFE · LSTR · LDDD · LHAI · LITE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Educational Development Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Educational Development Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Educational Development Corporation (EDUC)'s intrinsic value at $4.29 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.51 to $7.51. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EDUC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.37, 9 of 9 active models suggest EDUC may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $4.29, 212.9% above the current price of $1.37 — a consensus view that EDUC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Educational Development Corporation's business model in Publishing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for EDUC?

Educational Development Corporation's QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EDUC?

CirclFi analyzes EDUC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on EDUC?

Of the 9 models currently active on EDUC, First Chicago is the most bullish at $7.51 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.51. CirclFi's published fair value for EDUC is the median of that range, $4.29, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 117% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is EDUC a value trap in 2026?

Educational Development Corporation's Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Educational Development Corporation (EDUC) has a median fair value of $4.29 — 212.9% above the current price of $1.37 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EDUC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this EDUC valuation

Market data for EDUC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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