John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY) Fair Value 2026

WLY · Publishing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY) trades at $53.71, versus a $51.53 median fair value across its 11 active models — 4.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $58.81.

Key Facts

Ticker
WLY
Price
$53.71
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +9.5% upside with 76% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $51.53, within 4.1% of the current price of $53.71. Estimates range from $14.91 to $109.82. WLY scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. WLY’s -4.1% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WLY?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($53.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $58.81 +9.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.91 -72.2%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $50.83 -5.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $29.91 -44.3%
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What Is WLY's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $14.91 to $109.82

CirclFi's 11 active models place John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY) between $14.91 and $109.82 per share, a spread of 184% of the median. The median of that range — $51.53 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WLY, against a current price of $53.71.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$14.91median $51.53$109.82
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$14.91
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$109.82
Model agreement5 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WLY. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WLY, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $51.53, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $53.71. While the median implied return is -4.1%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +176.7% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $109.82 (+104.5%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $14.91 (-72.2%). This +176.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about John Wiley & Sons, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About WLY?

11 of 13 models are currently active for WLY. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WLY is $51.53 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $58.81 on its own, implying +9.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WLY Rank in Publishing?

Among 9 Publishing stocks, WLY ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places WLY in the top tier.

The Publishing sector introduces analytical considerations specific to telecommunications businesses. For John Wiley & Sons, Inc., metrics like capital intensity ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is WLY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WLY a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for John Wiley & Sons, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.0/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +176.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WLY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WLY's 11 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Publishing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Publishing stocks with 13-model coverage

NYTThe New York Times CompanyQOC 9.4WLYBJohn Wiley & Sons, Inc.QOC 8.0SCHLScholastic CorporationQOC 7.8EDUCEducational Development CorporationQOC 7.5PSOPearson plcQOC 7.4TDAYUSA TODAY Co., Inc.QOC 6.1LEELee Enterprises, IncorporatedQOC 5.2TNMGTNL MediageneQOC 2.4

Read investment analysis: NYT · WLYB · SCHL · EDUC · PSO · TDAY · LEE · TNMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WLY?

6 companies across all industries closest to WLY’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp.QOC 8.0KBRKBR, Inc.QOC 8.0GFFGriffon CorporationQOC 8.0CENXCentury Aluminum CompanyQOC 8.0OFLXOmega Flex, Inc.QOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FFBC · KBR · GFF · CENX · OFLX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About John Wiley & Sons, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is John Wiley & Sons, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY)'s intrinsic value at $51.53 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $14.91 to $109.82. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $58.81 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WLY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $53.71, 5 of 11 active models suggest WLY may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $51.53, within 4.1% of the current price of $53.71 — a consensus view that WLY is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits John Wiley & Sons, Inc.'s business model in Publishing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for WLY?

John Wiley & Sons, Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WLY?

CirclFi analyzes WLY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WLY?

Of the 11 models currently active on WLY, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $109.82 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $14.91. CirclFi's published fair value for WLY is the median of that range, $51.53, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 184% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WLY a value trap in 2026?

John Wiley & Sons, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (WLY) has a median fair value of $51.53 — within 4.1% of the current price of $53.71 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WLY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WLY valuation
  • Financial statements: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000107140) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WLY as of ; valuations recomputed .

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