Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) Fair Value 2026

PKE · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) trades at $32.61, versus a $9.04 median fair value across its 11 active models — 72.3% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $6.95.

Key Facts

Ticker
PKE
Price
$32.61
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $9.04, 72.3% below the current price of $32.61. Estimates range from $6.31 to $31.95. PKE scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. PKE’s -72.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Park Aerospace Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PKE?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($32.61)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.95 -78.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.04 -72.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $10.79 -66.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $27.26 -16.4%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is PKE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $6.31 to $31.95

CirclFi's 11 active models place Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) between $6.31 and $31.95 per share, a spread of 284% of the median. The median of that range — $9.04 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PKE, against a current price of $32.61.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$6.31median $9.04$31.95
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$6.31
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$31.95
Model agreement0 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PKE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PKE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Park Aerospace Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $9.04. Trading at its current price of $32.61, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -72.3%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $31.95 (-2.0%), versus ML-RIV at $6.31 (-80.6%). This +78.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About PKE?

11 of 13 models are currently active for PKE. All 11 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for PKE is $9.04 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $6.95 on its own, implying -78.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PKE Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, PKE ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places PKE in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Park Aerospace Corp.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that defense budget allocation plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including commercial aviation recovery — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PKE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PKE a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Park Aerospace Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Park Aerospace Corp. scores 8.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +78.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PKE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PKE's 11 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Park Aerospace Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

GDGeneral Dynamics CorporationQOC 8.4ATROAstronics CorporationQOC 8.4BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.4TXTTextron Inc.QOC 8.3AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.QOC 8.5VVXV2X, Inc.QOC 8.3RGRSturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.QOC 6.9MOBMobilicom LimitedQOC 5.2YSSYork Space Systems, Inc.QOC 3.6BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: GD · ATRO · BWXT · TXT · AXON · VVX · RGR · MOB · YSS · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PKE?

7 companies across all industries closest to PKE’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

NWSANews CorporationQOC 8.4NWSNews CorporationQOC 8.4MATXMatson, Inc.QOC 8.4CXMSprinklr, Inc.QOC 8.4SIGASIGA Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.4CHTRCharter Communications, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NWSA · NWS · MATX · CXM · SIGA · CHTR · NVDA

Where Does PKE Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

PKE is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Park Aerospace Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Park Aerospace Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE)'s intrinsic value at $9.04 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $6.31 to $31.95. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $6.95 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PKE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $32.61, 0 of 11 active models suggest PKE may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $9.04, 72.3% below the current price of $32.61 — a consensus view that PKE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Park Aerospace Corp.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for PKE?

Park Aerospace Corp.'s QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PKE?

CirclFi analyzes PKE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PKE?

Of the 11 models currently active on PKE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $31.95 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $6.31. CirclFi's published fair value for PKE is the median of that range, $9.04, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 284% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PKE a value trap in 2026?

Park Aerospace Corp.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Park Aerospace Corp. (PKE) has a median fair value of $9.04 — 72.3% below the current price of $32.61 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PKE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PKE valuation
  • Financial statements: Park Aerospace Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000076267) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PKE as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on PKE.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for PKE Unlock All 11 — $39/mo