Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Fair Value 2026

KRMN · Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) trades at $45.12. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KRMN
Price
$45.12
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.8/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($45.12)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$1.53 -96.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$12.53 -72.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$18.38 -59.3%
RCMH-DCF
High Conviction
$2.71 -94.0%

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What Is Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Karman Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $12.30. Trading at its current price of $45.12, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -72.7%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $50.89 (+12.8%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $0.29 (-99.4%). This +112.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Karman Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About KRMN?

11 of 13 models are currently active for KRMN. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KRMN Rank in Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC?

Among 11 Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC stocks, KRMN ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places KRMN in the top tier.

Karman Holdings Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is KRMN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KRMN a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Karman Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Karman Holdings Inc. earns a quality score of 8.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +112.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KRMN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KRMN's 11 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Karman Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Karman Holdings Inc.

What is Karman Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KRMN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $45.12, 1 of 11 active models suggest KRMN may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Karman Holdings Inc.'s business model in Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for KRMN?

Karman Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KRMN?

CirclFi analyzes KRMN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is KRMN a value trap in 2026?

Karman Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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