Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) Fair Value 2026

DAIO · Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) trades at $3.34, approximately 261% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.93. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DAIO
Price
$3.34
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +7.0% upside with 22% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.34)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.93 -72.3%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$2.06 -38.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.56 -23.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$3.57 +7.0%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Data I/O Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $2.62, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $3.34. While the average implied return is -21.6%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +112.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $4.15 (+24.1%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.37 (-88.8%). This +112.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Data I/O Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About DAIO?

11 of 13 models are currently active for DAIO. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DAIO's intrinsic value at $0.93, implying -72.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DAIO Rank in Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals?

Among 8 Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals stocks, DAIO ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

As a utility sector, Data I/O Corporation operates in a sector where earned vs. allowed ROE is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating DAIO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is DAIO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DAIO a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Data I/O Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Data I/O Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.1/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +112.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DAIO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DAIO's 11 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Data I/O Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

7 related Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: TER · VLTO · TRNS · ITRI · COHU

Frequently Asked Questions About Data I/O Corporation

What is Data I/O Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.93. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DAIO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.34, 4 of 11 active models suggest DAIO may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Data I/O Corporation's business model in Instruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec Signals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for DAIO?

Data I/O Corporation's QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DAIO?

CirclFi analyzes DAIO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DAIO a value trap in 2026?

Data I/O Corporation's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on DAIO.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access