Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) Fair Value 2026

DAIO · Electronic Components ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) trades at $2.98, versus a $5.61 median fair value across its 3 active models — 88.3% above the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DAIO
Price
$2.98
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +121.5% upside with 42% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $5.61, 88.3% above the current price of $2.98. Estimates range from $2.61 to $6.60. DAIO scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 15/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. DAIO’s +88.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electronic Components sector median is -58.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Data I/O Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DAIO?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $2.61 -12.4%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $6.60 +121.5%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $5.61 +88.3%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is DAIO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $2.61 to $6.60

CirclFi's 3 active models place Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) between $2.61 and $6.60 per share, a spread of 71% of the median. The median of that range — $5.61 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DAIO, against a current price of $2.98.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$2.61median $5.61$6.60
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.61
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$6.60
Model agreement2 bullish · 1 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DAIO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Data I/O Corporation at $2.98. With an estimated intrinsic value of $5.61 and 2 of 3 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +88.3%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $6.60 (+121.5%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $2.61 (-12.4%). This +133.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Data I/O Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About DAIO?

3 of 13 models are currently active for DAIO. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for DAIO is $5.61 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DAIO Rank in Electronic Components?

Among 46 Electronic Components stocks, DAIO ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

Data I/O Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is DAIO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DAIO a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Data I/O Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Data I/O Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +133.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DAIO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DAIO's 3 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Data I/O Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Components Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electronic Components stocks with 13-model coverage

MEIMethode Electronics, Inc.QOC 7.0KOPNKopin CorporationQOC 6.8CPSHCPS Technologies CorporationQOC 7.2OUSTOuster, Inc.QOC 6.7NEONNeonode Inc.QOC 7.2LINKInterlink Electronics, Inc.QOC 6.6MSAIMultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.3DAKTDaktronics, Inc.QOC 8.9BHEBenchmark Electronics, Inc.QOC 8.3CLSCelestica Inc.QOC 9.4APHAmphenol CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: MEI · KOPN · CPSH · OUST · NEON · LINK · MSAI · DAKT · BHE · CLS · APH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DAIO?

7 companies across all industries closest to DAIO’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

BANDBandwidth Inc.QOC 6.9TALOTalos Energy Inc.QOC 6.9NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.QOC 6.9FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.QOC 6.9MSBIMidland States Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.9KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BAND · TALO · NOA · FWRG · MSBI · KRMN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Data I/O Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Data I/O Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Data I/O Corporation (DAIO)'s intrinsic value at $5.61 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.61 to $6.60. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DAIO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.98, 2 of 3 active models suggest DAIO may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $5.61, 88.3% above the current price of $2.98 — a consensus view that DAIO is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Data I/O Corporation's business model in Electronic Components.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for DAIO?

Data I/O Corporation's QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DAIO?

CirclFi analyzes DAIO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DAIO?

Of the 3 models currently active on DAIO, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $6.60 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.61. CirclFi's published fair value for DAIO is the median of that range, $5.61, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 71% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DAIO a value trap in 2026?

Data I/O Corporation's Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Data I/O Corporation (DAIO) has a median fair value of $5.61 — 88.3% above the current price of $2.98 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DAIO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DAIO valuation
  • Financial statements: Data I/O Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000351998) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DAIO as of ; valuations recomputed .