What Is Ouster, Inc. (OUST) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ouster, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $9.89, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $40.03. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-75.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +3.5% (fair value: $41.42), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -98.8% ($0.46). The spread between these extremes — +102.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About OUST?
11 of 13 models are currently active for OUST. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates OUST's intrinsic value at $13.11, implying -67.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does OUST Rank in General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC?
Among 14 General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC stocks, OUST ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.
As a manufacturing company, Ouster, Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating OUST should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is OUST a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OUST a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Ouster, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ouster, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.1/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +102.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every OUST valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across OUST's 11 active models, average confidence is 21%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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