Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) Fair Value 2026

GAIA · Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (38/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) trades at $2.08, approximately 135% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.88. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 38/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GAIA
Price
$2.08
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
38/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +379.9% upside with 26% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.08)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$0.88 -57.5%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$9.98 +379.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.23 +7.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$3.25 +56.4%

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What Is Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gaia, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $2.79. Trading at $2.08, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of +34.3%), as 7 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, EPV sees the most upside at +379.9% (fair value: $9.98), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -65.4% ($0.72). The spread between these extremes — +445.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GAIA?

12 of 13 models are currently active for GAIA. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GAIA's intrinsic value at $0.88, implying -57.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GAIA Rank in Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production?

Among 8 Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production stocks, GAIA ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

Gaia, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is GAIA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GAIA a score of 38/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Gaia, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gaia, Inc. scores 7.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +445.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GAIA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GAIA's 12 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gaia, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

7 related Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CURI · MPU · LION · ANGX · STRZ

Frequently Asked Questions About Gaia, Inc.

What is Gaia, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.88. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GAIA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.08, 5 of 12 active models suggest GAIA may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gaia, Inc.'s business model in Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for GAIA?

Gaia, Inc.'s QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GAIA?

CirclFi analyzes GAIA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GAIA a value trap in 2026?

Gaia, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 38/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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