Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) Fair Value 2026

GAIA · Entertainment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) trades at $1.55, versus a $2.70 median fair value across its 5 active models — 74.0% above the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GAIA
Price
$1.55
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +74.0% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $2.70, 74.0% above the current price of $1.55. Estimates range from $0.77 to $5.05. GAIA scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 25/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GAIA’s +74.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Entertainment sector median is -28.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Gaia, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GAIA?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $2.70 +74.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $1.73 +11.4%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 3 additional models including PWERM, Sentiment SOTP, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 5 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is GAIA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $0.77 to $5.05

CirclFi's 5 active models place Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) between $0.77 and $5.05 per share, a spread of 159% of the median. The median of that range — $2.70 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GAIA, against a current price of $1.55.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · FTNN
$0.77median $2.70$5.05
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$0.77
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$5.05
Model agreement4 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GAIA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GAIA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gaia, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $2.70. At a current market price of $1.55, 4 of 5 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +74.0%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +225.9% (fair value: $5.05), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -50.5% ($0.77). The spread between these extremes — +276.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GAIA?

5 of 13 models are currently active for GAIA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GAIA is $2.70 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GAIA Rank in Entertainment?

Among 53 Entertainment stocks, GAIA ranks #23 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Entertainment Stocks →

The Entertainment sector introduces analytical considerations specific to telecom operator businesses. For Gaia, Inc., metrics like capital intensity ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GAIA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GAIA a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Gaia, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gaia, Inc. scores 6.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +276.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GAIA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GAIA's 5 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gaia, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Entertainment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Entertainment stocks with 13-model coverage

MCSThe Marcus CorporationQOC 7.1WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.QOC 6.6AENTAlliance Entertainment Holding CorporationQOC 7.2PLAYDave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc.QOC 6.5SPHRSphere Entertainment Co.QOC 7.2HUYAHUYA Inc.QOC 6.5BOTYLingerie Fighting Championships, Inc.QOC 5.5KWMK Wave Media Ltd.QOC 3.2DISThe Walt Disney CompanyQOC 8.2NFLXNetflix, Inc.QOC 9.8IMAXIMAX CorporationQOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: MCS · WBD · AENT · PLAY · SPHR · HUYA · BOTY · KWM · DIS · NFLX · IMAX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GAIA?

7 companies across all industries closest to GAIA’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

KTCCKey Tronic CorporationQOC 6.7CCOClear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.7ANGOAngioDynamics, Inc.QOC 6.7JACKJack in the Box Inc.QOC 6.7RDWRedwire CorporationQOC 6.7GEOSGeospace Technologies CorporationQOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: KTCC · CCO · ANGO · JACK · RDW · GEOS · NVDA

Where Does GAIA Sit in CirclFi's Entertainment Rankings?

GAIA is ranked against every other Entertainment stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Entertainment stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Gaia, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Gaia, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Gaia, Inc. (GAIA)'s intrinsic value at $2.70 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.77 to $5.05. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GAIA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.55, 4 of 5 active models suggest GAIA may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $2.70, 74.0% above the current price of $1.55 — a consensus view that GAIA is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gaia, Inc.'s business model in Entertainment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for GAIA?

Gaia, Inc.'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GAIA?

CirclFi analyzes GAIA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GAIA?

Of the 5 models currently active on GAIA, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $5.05 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $0.77. CirclFi's published fair value for GAIA is the median of that range, $2.70, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 159% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GAIA a value trap in 2026?

Gaia, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Gaia, Inc. (GAIA) has a median fair value of $2.70 — 74.0% above the current price of $1.55 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GAIA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GAIA valuation
  • Financial statements: Gaia, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001089872) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GAIA as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 5 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on GAIA.

Unlock All 5 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

3 models hidden for GAIA Unlock All 5 — $39/mo