Dave & Buster's Entertainment, (PLAY) Fair Value 2026

PLAY · Retail-Eating Places ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Dave & Buster's Entertainment, (PLAY) trades at $10.05, approximately 43% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $17.50. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PLAY
Price
$10.05
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +326.6% upside with 46% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.05)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$17.50 +74.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$34.01 +238.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$35.91 +257.3%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$42.87 +326.6%

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What Is Dave & Buster's Entertainment, (PLAY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dave & Buster's Entertainment, 's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $21.08. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $10.05 (implied upside of +109.8%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 6 of 9 bullish models. Notably, Dynamic NAV sees the most upside at +326.6% (fair value: $42.87), while EROIC is the most conservative at -85.5% ($1.46). The spread between these extremes — +412.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About PLAY?

9 of 13 models are currently active for PLAY. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PLAY's intrinsic value at $17.50, implying +74.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PLAY Rank in Retail-Eating Places?

Among 42 Retail-Eating Places stocks, PLAY ranks #22 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, 's positioning within the Retail-Eating Places segment means that e-commerce penetration rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including omnichannel integration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PLAY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PLAY a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Dave & Buster's Entertainment, . Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Dave & Buster's Entertainment, earns a quality score of 7.0/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +412.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PLAY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PLAY's 9 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Eating Places Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Retail-Eating Places stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CMG · TXRH · WING · NATH · MCD

See all Retail-Eating Places stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Dave & Buster's Entertainment,

What is Dave & Buster's Entertainment, 's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Dave & Buster's Entertainment, (PLAY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $17.50. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PLAY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.05, 6 of 9 active models suggest PLAY may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Dave & Buster's Entertainment, 's business model in Retail-Eating Places.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for PLAY?

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, 's QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PLAY?

CirclFi analyzes PLAY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PLAY a value trap in 2026?

Dave & Buster's Entertainment, 's Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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