What Is Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NATH) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nathan's Famous, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $100.55. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $124.52 (+23.8% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 3 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $491.89 (+389.2%), versus EROIC at $25.23 (-74.9%). This +464.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About NATH?
12 of 13 models are currently active for NATH. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NATH's intrinsic value at $74.55, implying -25.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NATH Rank in Retail-Eating Places?
Among 42 Retail-Eating Places stocks, NATH ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places NATH in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →
As a consumer-facing company, Nathan's Famous, Inc. operates in a sector where customer lifetime value (CLV) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NATH should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is NATH a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NATH a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Nathan's Famous, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.1/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +464.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NATH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NATH's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →