Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) Fair Value 2026

KRUS · Restaurants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) trades at $46.27, versus a $12.51 median fair value across its 7 active models — 73.0% below the current price. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $18.92.

Key Facts

Ticker
KRUS
Price
$46.27
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $12.51, 73.0% below the current price of $46.27. Estimates range from $1.73 to $31.98. KRUS scores 6.0/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. KRUS’s -73.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Restaurants sector median is -18.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Kura Sushi USA, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KRUS?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($46.27)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $18.92 -59.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $12.51 -73.0%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $1.73 -96.3%
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What Is KRUS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $1.73 to $31.98

CirclFi's 7 active models place Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) between $1.73 and $31.98 per share, a spread of 242% of the median. The median of that range — $12.51 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KRUS, against a current price of $46.27.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · FTNN
$1.73median $12.51$31.98
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.73
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$31.98
Model agreement0 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KRUS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KRUS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kura Sushi USA, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $12.51, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $46.27. With 7 out of 7 models flagging downside (-73.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at -30.9% (fair value: $31.98), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -96.3% ($1.73). The spread between these extremes — +65.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About KRUS?

7 of 13 models are currently active for KRUS. All 7 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for KRUS is $12.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $18.92 on its own, implying -59.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KRUS Rank in Restaurants?

Among 55 Restaurants stocks, KRUS ranks #38 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Restaurants Stocks →

Within the Restaurants space, Kura Sushi USA, Inc. competes in an environment where brand equity index often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is KRUS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KRUS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Kura Sushi USA, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Kura Sushi USA, Inc. is rated at 6.0/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +65.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KRUS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KRUS's 7 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kura Sushi USA, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Restaurants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Restaurants stocks with 13-model coverage

BHBiglari Holdings Inc.QOC 6.1SGSweetgreen, Inc.QOC 5.9JACKJack in the Box Inc.QOC 6.7ARKRArk Restaurants Corp.QOC 5.9BTBDBT Brands, Inc.QOC 6.7STKSThe ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.QOC 5.9HWHHWH International Inc.QOC 4.8NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.QOC 8.4NROMNoble Roman's, Inc.QOC 7.4EATBrinker International, Inc.QOC 9.3CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: BH · SG · JACK · ARKR · BTBD · STKS · HWH · NATH · NROM · EAT · CMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KRUS?

7 companies across all industries closest to KRUS’s Quality of Company score of 6.0/10.

PRQRProQR Therapeutics N.V.QOC 6.0PBHCPathfinder Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.0MPTMedical Properties Trust, Inc.QOC 6.0FUBOFuboTV Inc.QOC 6.0KLNGKoil Energy Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.0SSIISS Innovations International, Inc.QOC 6.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PRQR · PBHC · MPT · FUBO · KLNG · SSII · NVDA

Where Does KRUS Sit in CirclFi's Restaurants Rankings?

KRUS is ranked against every other Restaurants stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Restaurants stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kura Sushi USA, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Kura Sushi USA, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS)'s intrinsic value at $12.51 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.73 to $31.98. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $18.92 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KRUS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $46.27, 0 of 7 active models suggest KRUS may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $12.51, 73.0% below the current price of $46.27 — a consensus view that KRUS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kura Sushi USA, Inc.'s business model in Restaurants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for KRUS?

Kura Sushi USA, Inc.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KRUS?

CirclFi analyzes KRUS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KRUS?

Of the 7 models currently active on KRUS, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $31.98 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.73. CirclFi's published fair value for KRUS is the median of that range, $12.51, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 242% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KRUS a value trap in 2026?

Kura Sushi USA, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) has a median fair value of $12.51 — 73.0% below the current price of $46.27 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KRUS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KRUS valuation
  • Financial statements: Kura Sushi USA, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001772177) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KRUS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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