Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) Fair Value 2026

ARKR · Restaurants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) trades at $5.49, versus a $17.87 median fair value across its 3 active models — 225.5% above the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ARKR
Price
$5.49
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +244.8% upside with 30% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $17.87, 225.5% above the current price of $5.49. Estimates range from $9.27 to $18.93. ARKR scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ARKR’s +225.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Restaurants sector median is -20.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ark Restaurants Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ARKR?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.49)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Scenario · High Conviction
 $9.27 +68.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.87 +225.5%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $18.93 +244.8%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is ARKR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $9.27 to $18.93

CirclFi's 3 active models place Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) between $9.27 and $18.93 per share, a spread of 54% of the median. The median of that range — $17.87 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ARKR, against a current price of $5.49.

Low · First ChicagoHigh · PWERM
$9.27median $17.87$18.93
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFirst Chicago$9.27
Most bullish modelPWERM$18.93
Model agreement3 bullish · 0 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ARKR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ark Restaurants Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $17.87. At a current market price of $5.49, 3 of 3 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +225.5%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +244.8% (fair value: $18.93), while First Chicago is the most conservative at +68.8% ($9.27). The spread between these extremes — +176.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ARKR?

3 of 13 models are currently active for ARKR. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ARKR is $17.87 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ARKR Rank in Restaurants?

Among 55 Restaurants stocks, ARKR ranks #40 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Restaurants Stocks →

Ark Restaurants Corp.'s positioning within the Restaurants segment means that brand equity index plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including brand loyalty and pricing power — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ARKR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ARKR a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Ark Restaurants Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Ark Restaurants Corp. earns a quality score of 5.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +176.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ARKR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ARKR's 3 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ark Restaurants Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Restaurants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Restaurants stocks with 13-model coverage

SGSweetgreen, Inc.QOC 5.9STKSThe ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.QOC 5.9KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.QOC 6.0RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.QOC 5.6BHBiglari Holdings Inc.QOC 6.1THCHTH International LimitedQOC 5.5CCHHCCH Holdings LtdQOC 2.8CHAChagee Holdings LimitedQOC 8.3GTIMGood Times Restaurants Inc.QOC 7.4EATBrinker International, Inc.QOC 9.3CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: SG · STKS · KRUS · RRGB · BH · THCH · CCHH · CHA · GTIM · EAT · CMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ARKR?

7 companies across all industries closest to ARKR’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

HTLMHomesToLife Ltd.QOC 5.9EYPTEyePoint, Inc.QOC 5.9TLRYTilray Brands, Inc.QOC 5.9OKUROnKure Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 5.9DUKRDUKE Robotics Corp.QOC 5.9LABStandard BioTools Inc.QOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HTLM · EYPT · TLRY · OKUR · DUKR · LAB · NVDA

Where Does ARKR Sit in CirclFi's Restaurants Rankings?

ARKR is ranked against every other Restaurants stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Restaurants stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ark Restaurants Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Ark Restaurants Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR)'s intrinsic value at $17.87 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.27 to $18.93. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ARKR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.49, 3 of 3 active models suggest ARKR may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $17.87, 225.5% above the current price of $5.49 — a consensus view that ARKR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ark Restaurants Corp.'s business model in Restaurants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for ARKR?

Ark Restaurants Corp.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ARKR?

CirclFi analyzes ARKR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ARKR?

Of the 3 models currently active on ARKR, PWERM is the most bullish at $18.93 per share, and First Chicago is the most bearish at $9.27. CirclFi's published fair value for ARKR is the median of that range, $17.87, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 54% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ARKR a value trap in 2026?

Ark Restaurants Corp.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) has a median fair value of $17.87 — 225.5% above the current price of $5.49 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ARKR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ARKR valuation
  • Financial statements: Ark Restaurants Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000779544) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ARKR as of ; valuations recomputed .