Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) Fair Value 2026

GTIM · Restaurants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) trades at $1.50, versus a $2.08 median fair value across its 10 active models — 38.5% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GTIM
Price
$1.50
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +133.8% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $2.08, 38.5% above the current price of $1.50. Estimates range from $0.21 to $5.23. GTIM scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GTIM’s +38.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Restaurants sector median is -18.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Good Times Restaurants Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GTIM?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $2.31 +54.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.89 +25.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.26 +51.0%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $3.51 +133.8%
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What Is GTIM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $0.21 to $5.23

CirclFi's 10 active models place Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) between $0.21 and $5.23 per share, a spread of 242% of the median. The median of that range — $2.08 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GTIM, against a current price of $1.50.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · FTNN
$0.21median $2.08$5.23
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$0.21
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$5.23
Model agreement8 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GTIM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GTIM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Good Times Restaurants Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.50. Based on our 13-model framework, Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $2.08 — representing +38.5% implied upside — with 8 out of 10 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $5.23 (+249.0%), versus Markov DDM at $0.21 (-86.2%). This +335.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About GTIM?

10 of 13 models are currently active for GTIM. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GTIM is $2.08 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GTIM Rank in Restaurants?

Among 55 Restaurants stocks, GTIM ranks #26 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Restaurants Stocks →

Within the Restaurants space, Good Times Restaurants Inc. competes in an environment where store traffic trends often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GTIM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GTIM a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Good Times Restaurants Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Good Times Restaurants Inc. is rated at 7.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +335.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GTIM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GTIM's 10 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Good Times Restaurants Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Restaurants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Restaurants stocks with 13-model coverage

SBUXStarbucks CorporationQOC 7.4PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.QOC 7.2NROMNoble Roman's, Inc.QOC 7.4DINDine Brands Global, Inc.QOC 7.1LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6HDLSuper Hi International Holding Ltd.QOC 7.1SGSweetgreen, Inc.QOC 5.9CCHHCCH Holdings LtdQOC 2.8CHAChagee Holdings LimitedQOC 8.3EATBrinker International, Inc.QOC 9.3CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: SBUX · PZZA · NROM · DIN · LOCO · HDL · SG · CCHH · CHA · EAT · CMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GTIM?

7 companies across all industries closest to GTIM’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

PIImpinj, Inc.QOC 7.4SHLSShoals Technologies Group, Inc.QOC 7.4GTLBGitLab Inc.QOC 7.4SNWVSANUWAVE Health, Inc.QOC 7.4SHGShinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd.QOC 7.4NTRNutrien Ltd.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PI · SHLS · GTLB · SNWV · SHG · NTR · NVDA

Where Does GTIM Sit in CirclFi's Restaurants Rankings?

GTIM is ranked against every other Restaurants stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Restaurants stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Good Times Restaurants Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM)'s intrinsic value at $2.08 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.21 to $5.23. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GTIM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.50, 8 of 10 active models suggest GTIM may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $2.08, 38.5% above the current price of $1.50 — a consensus view that GTIM is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s business model in Restaurants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for GTIM?

Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GTIM?

CirclFi analyzes GTIM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GTIM?

Of the 10 models currently active on GTIM, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $5.23 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $0.21. CirclFi's published fair value for GTIM is the median of that range, $2.08, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 242% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GTIM a value trap in 2026?

Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) has a median fair value of $2.08 — 38.5% above the current price of $1.50 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GTIM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GTIM valuation
  • Financial statements: Good Times Restaurants Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000825324) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GTIM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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