Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) Fair Value 2026

GTIM · Retail-Eating Places ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (22/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) trades at $1.44, approximately 234% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.43. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 22/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GTIM
Price
$1.44
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
22/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +396.6% upside with 53% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.44)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$0.43 -70.1%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$4.27 +196.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$4.46 +209.4%
ML-RIV
High Conviction
$7.15 +396.6%

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What Is Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Good Times Restaurants Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.44. Based on our 13-model framework, Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $3.18 — representing +121.1% implied upside — with 9 out of 12 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $7.15 (+396.6%), versus Markov DDM at $0.34 (-76.4%). This +473.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About GTIM?

12 of 13 models are currently active for GTIM. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GTIM's intrinsic value at $0.43, implying -70.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GTIM Rank in Retail-Eating Places?

Among 42 Retail-Eating Places stocks, GTIM ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →

Within the Retail-Eating Places space, Good Times Restaurants Inc. competes in an environment where store traffic trends often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GTIM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GTIM a score of 22/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Good Times Restaurants Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Good Times Restaurants Inc. is rated at 7.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +473.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GTIM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GTIM's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Good Times Restaurants Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Eating Places Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Retail-Eating Places stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CMG · TXRH · WING · NATH · MCD

See all Retail-Eating Places stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Good Times Restaurants Inc.

What is Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.43. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GTIM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.44, 9 of 12 active models suggest GTIM may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s business model in Retail-Eating Places.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for GTIM?

Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GTIM?

CirclFi analyzes GTIM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GTIM a value trap in 2026?

Good Times Restaurants Inc.'s Value Trap score is 22/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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