What Is Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Darden Restaurants, Inc. at its current price of $196.68. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $217.08 (+10.4% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +360.0% (fair value: $904.73), while EROIC is the most conservative at -77.0% ($45.30). The spread between these extremes — +437.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About DRI?
12 of 13 models are currently active for DRI. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DRI's intrinsic value at $151.45, implying -23.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does DRI Rank in Retail-Eating Places?
Among 42 Retail-Eating Places stocks, DRI ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places DRI in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →
Within the Retail-Eating Places space, Darden Restaurants, Inc. competes in an environment where e-commerce penetration rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is DRI a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DRI a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Darden Restaurants, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Darden Restaurants, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.3/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +437.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every DRI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across DRI's 12 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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