The Wendy's Company (WEN) Fair Value 2026

WEN · Restaurants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, The Wendy's Company (WEN) trades at $7.82, versus a $15.58 median fair value across its 11 active models — 99.4% above the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $27.27.

Key Facts

Ticker
WEN
Price
$7.82
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +249.0% upside with 69% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is The Wendy's Company (WEN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Wendy's Company (WEN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $15.58, 99.4% above the current price of $7.82. Estimates range from $3.93 to $30.01. WEN scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. WEN’s +99.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Restaurants sector median is -18.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Wendy's Company Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WEN?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.82)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $27.27 +249.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $11.87 +51.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $15.58 +99.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.93 -49.8%
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What Is WEN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $3.93 to $30.01

CirclFi's 11 active models place The Wendy's Company (WEN) between $3.93 and $30.01 per share, a spread of 167% of the median. The median of that range — $15.58 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WEN, against a current price of $7.82.

Low · EROICHigh · RCMH-DCF
$3.93median $15.58$30.01
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$3.93
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$30.01
Model agreement8 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WEN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WEN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is The Wendy's Company (WEN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on The Wendy's Company at $7.82. With an estimated intrinsic value of $15.58 and 8 of 11 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +99.4%. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $30.01 (+284.0%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $3.93 (-49.8%). This +333.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about The Wendy's Company's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About WEN?

11 of 13 models are currently active for WEN. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WEN is $15.58 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $27.27 on its own, implying +249.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WEN Rank in Restaurants?

Among 55 Restaurants stocks, WEN ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places WEN in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Restaurants Stocks →

The Restaurants sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For The Wendy's Company, metrics like inventory turnover provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is WEN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WEN a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for The Wendy's Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, The Wendy's Company earns a quality score of 8.1/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +333.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WEN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WEN's 11 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Wendy's Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Restaurants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Restaurants stocks with 13-model coverage

DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.QOC 8.1CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.QOC 7.9YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.2SHAKShake Shack Inc.QOC 7.8YUMYum! Brands, Inc.QOC 8.2RICKRCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7PTLOPortillo's Inc.QOC 7.1BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.QOC 5.4WINGWingstop Inc.QOC 8.9EATBrinker International, Inc.QOC 9.3CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: DRI · CBRL · YUMC · SHAK · YUM · RICK · PTLO · BRCB · WING · EAT · CMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WEN?

7 companies across all industries closest to WEN’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

TAT&T Inc.QOC 8.1NTNXNutanix, Inc.QOC 8.1MEOHMethanex CorporationQOC 8.1VXRTVaxart, Inc.QOC 8.1ARMKAramarkQOC 8.1OLEDUniversal Display CorporationQOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: T · NTNX · MEOH · VXRT · ARMK · OLED · NVDA

Where Does WEN Sit in CirclFi's Restaurants Rankings?

WEN is ranked against every other Restaurants stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Restaurants stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About The Wendy's Company’s Valuation?

What is The Wendy's Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts The Wendy's Company (WEN)'s intrinsic value at $15.58 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.93 to $30.01. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $27.27 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WEN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.82, 8 of 11 active models suggest WEN may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $15.58, 99.4% above the current price of $7.82 — a consensus view that WEN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Wendy's Company's business model in Restaurants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for WEN?

The Wendy's Company's QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WEN?

CirclFi analyzes WEN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WEN?

Of the 11 models currently active on WEN, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $30.01 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $3.93. CirclFi's published fair value for WEN is the median of that range, $15.58, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 167% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WEN a value trap in 2026?

The Wendy's Company's Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Wendy's Company (WEN) has a median fair value of $15.58 — 99.4% above the current price of $7.82 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WEN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WEN valuation
  • Financial statements: The Wendy's Company 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000030697) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WEN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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