What Is Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Starbucks Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $63.64. Trading at its current price of $107.34, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -40.7%. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +34.9% (fair value: $144.82), while EROIC is the most conservative at -85.6% ($15.45). The spread between these extremes — +120.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About SBUX?
12 of 13 models are currently active for SBUX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SBUX's intrinsic value at $27.52, implying -74.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SBUX Rank in Retail-Eating & Drinking Places?
Among 8 Retail-Eating & Drinking Places stocks, SBUX ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places SBUX in the top tier.
The Retail-Eating & Drinking Places sector introduces analytical considerations specific to retail business businesses. For Starbucks Corporation, metrics like brand equity index provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is SBUX a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for SBUX. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Starbucks Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Starbucks Corporation scores 8.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SBUX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SBUX's 12 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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