What Is Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Papa John's International, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $47.65. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $33.25 (implied upside of +43.3%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 8 of 11 bullish models. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +156.8% (fair value: $85.38), while EROIC is the most conservative at -95.3% ($1.55). The spread between these extremes — +252.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About PZZA?
11 of 13 models are currently active for PZZA. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PZZA's intrinsic value at $57.77, implying +73.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does PZZA Rank in Retail-Eating Places?
Among 42 Retail-Eating Places stocks, PZZA ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →
Within the Retail-Eating Places space, Papa John's International, Inc. competes in an environment where store traffic trends often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is PZZA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PZZA a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Papa John's International, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Papa John's International, Inc. is rated at 7.2/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +252.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every PZZA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across PZZA's 11 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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