Helen of Troy Limited (HELE) Fair Value 2026

HELE · Electric Housewares & Fans ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Helen of Troy Limited (HELE) trades at $27.22, approximately 73% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $100.14. QOC: 7.2/10. 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HELE
Price
$27.22
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +269.8% upside with 82% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.22)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$100.14 +267.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$100.67 +269.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$83.81 +207.9%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$80.70 +196.5%

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What Is Helen of Troy Limited (HELE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Helen of Troy Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $62.76. At a current market price of $27.22, 10 of 11 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +130.6%. Notably, EPV sees the most upside at +269.8% (fair value: $100.67), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -23.4% ($20.85). The spread between these extremes — +293.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About HELE?

11 of 13 models are currently active for HELE. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HELE's intrinsic value at $100.14, implying +267.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HELE Rank in Electric Housewares & Fans?

Among 4 Electric Housewares & Fans stocks, HELE ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

The Electric Housewares & Fans sector introduces analytical considerations specific to regulated utility businesses. For Helen of Troy Limited, metrics like payout ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HELE a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for HELE. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Helen of Troy Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Helen of Troy Limited scores 7.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +293.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HELE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HELE's 11 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Helen of Troy Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electric Housewares & Fans Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Electric Housewares & Fans stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: HBB · ATER · FEBO

Frequently Asked Questions About Helen of Troy Limited

What is Helen of Troy Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Helen of Troy Limited (HELE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $100.14. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HELE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.22, 10 of 11 active models suggest HELE may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Helen of Troy Limited's business model in Electric Housewares & Fans.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for HELE?

Helen of Troy Limited's QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HELE?

CirclFi analyzes HELE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HELE a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for HELE at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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