Magnera Corporation (MAGN) Fair Value 2026

MAGN · Household & Personal Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Magnera Corporation (MAGN) trades at $12.40, versus a $35.84 median fair value across its 8 active models — 189.0% above the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MAGN
Price
$12.40
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +190.8% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Magnera Corporation (MAGN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Magnera Corporation (MAGN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $35.84, 189.0% above the current price of $12.40. Estimates range from $1.76 to $67.03. MAGN scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. MAGN’s +189.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Household & Personal Products sector median is -7.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Magnera Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MAGN?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $36.06 +190.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.65 -30.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.76 -85.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $35.62 +187.3%
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What Is MAGN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $1.76 to $67.03

CirclFi's 8 active models place Magnera Corporation (MAGN) between $1.76 and $67.03 per share, a spread of 182% of the median. The median of that range — $35.84 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MAGN, against a current price of $12.40.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$1.76median $35.84$67.03
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.76
Most bullish modelPWERM$67.03
Model agreement6 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MAGN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MAGN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Magnera Corporation (MAGN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Magnera Corporation. Trading at $12.40 against an estimated intrinsic value of $35.84, 6 of 8 active models flag meaningful upside of +189.0% at the median. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $67.03 (+440.5%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $1.76 (-85.8%). This +526.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Magnera Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About MAGN?

8 of 13 models are currently active for MAGN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MAGN is $35.84 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MAGN Rank in Household & Personal Products?

Among 35 Household & Personal Products stocks, MAGN ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a consumer sector, Magnera Corporation operates in a sector where store traffic trends is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating MAGN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is MAGN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MAGN a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Magnera Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Magnera Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +526.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MAGN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MAGN's 8 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Magnera Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Household & Personal Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Household & Personal Products stocks with 13-model coverage

HELEHelen of Troy LimitedQOC 6.6DQWSDSwiss, Inc.QOC 6.2ELThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc.QOC 6.8NWLNewell Brands Inc.QOC 6.2RAYRaytech Holding LimitedQOC 6.8HNSTThe Honest Company, Inc.QOC 6.1XAGELongevity Health Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.7CLColgate-Palmolive CompanyQOC 8.4ULUnilever PLCQOC 7.6IPARInterparfums, Inc.QOC 9.3PGThe Procter & Gamble CompanyQOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: HELE · DQWS · EL · NWL · RAY · HNST · XAGE · CL · UL · IPAR · PG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MAGN?

7 companies across all industries closest to MAGN’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

COE51Talk Online Education GroupQOC 6.6RYAMRayonier Advanced Materials Inc.QOC 6.6AXSMAxsome Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.6FORRForrester Research, Inc.QOC 6.6GEVOGevo, Inc.QOC 6.6WLTHWealthfront CorporationQOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: COE · RYAM · AXSM · FORR · GEVO · WLTH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Magnera Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Magnera Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Magnera Corporation (MAGN)'s intrinsic value at $35.84 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.76 to $67.03. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MAGN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.40, 6 of 8 active models suggest MAGN may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $35.84, 189.0% above the current price of $12.40 — a consensus view that MAGN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Magnera Corporation's business model in Household & Personal Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for MAGN?

Magnera Corporation's QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MAGN?

CirclFi analyzes MAGN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MAGN?

Of the 8 models currently active on MAGN, PWERM is the most bullish at $67.03 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.76. CirclFi's published fair value for MAGN is the median of that range, $35.84, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 182% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MAGN a value trap in 2026?

Magnera Corporation's Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Magnera Corporation (MAGN) has a median fair value of $35.84 — 189.0% above the current price of $12.40 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MAGN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MAGN valuation
  • Financial statements: Magnera Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000041719) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MAGN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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