What Is Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Clearwater Paper Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $32.96, suggesting a +112.9% average upside from the current price of $15.48. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $85.22 (+450.5%), versus Regime Cross at $0.81 (-94.7%). This +545.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About CLW?
12 of 13 models are currently active for CLW. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CLW's intrinsic value at $85.22, implying +450.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CLW Rank in Paperboard Mills?
Among 1 Paperboard Mills stocks, CLW ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.
Clearwater Paper Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is CLW a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CLW a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Clearwater Paper Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Clearwater Paper Corporation scores 6.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +545.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CLW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CLW's 12 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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