Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL) Fair Value 2026

HDL · Restaurants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL) trades at $13.28, versus a $22.48 median fair value across its 11 active models — 69.3% above the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $48.30.

Key Facts

Ticker
HDL
Price
$13.28
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +415.3% upside with 27% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $22.48, 69.3% above the current price of $13.28. Estimates range from $2.67 to $68.40. HDL scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 10/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. HDL’s +69.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Restaurants sector median is -18.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HDL?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.28)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $48.30 +263.8%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $2.67 -79.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $22.48 +69.3%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $68.40 +415.3%
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What Is HDL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $2.67 to $68.40

CirclFi's 11 active models place Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL) between $2.67 and $68.40 per share, a spread of 292% of the median. The median of that range — $22.48 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HDL, against a current price of $13.28.

Low · EPVHigh · First Chicago
$2.67median $22.48$68.40
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$2.67
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$68.40
Model agreement7 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HDL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HDL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Super Hi International Holding Ltd. at $13.28. With an estimated intrinsic value of $22.48 and 7 of 11 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +69.3%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $68.40 (+415.3%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $2.67 (-79.9%). This +495.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Super Hi International Holding Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HDL?

11 of 13 models are currently active for HDL. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HDL is $22.48 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $48.30 on its own, implying +263.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HDL Rank in Restaurants?

Among 55 Restaurants stocks, HDL ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Restaurants Stocks →

The Restaurants sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For Super Hi International Holding Ltd., metrics like inventory turnover provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HDL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HDL a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Super Hi International Holding Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Super Hi International Holding Ltd. earns a quality score of 7.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +495.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HDL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HDL's 11 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Restaurants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Restaurants stocks with 13-model coverage

DINDine Brands Global, Inc.QOC 7.1BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc.QOC 7.1PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.QOC 7.2PTLOPortillo's Inc.QOC 7.1GTIMGood Times Restaurants Inc.QOC 7.4FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.QOC 6.9RRGBRed Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.QOC 5.6EATBrinker International, Inc.QOC 9.3YUMYum! Brands, Inc.QOC 8.2CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: DIN · BLMN · PZZA · PTLO · GTIM · FWRG · RRGB · EAT · YUM · CMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HDL?

7 companies across all industries closest to HDL’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

CYHCommunity Health Systems, Inc.QOC 7.1RJETRepublic Airways Holdings Inc.QOC 7.1PORPortland General Electric CompanyQOC 7.1SSentinelOne, Inc.QOC 7.1OGSONE Gas, Inc.QOC 7.1SMTISanara MedTech Inc.QOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CYH · RJET · POR · S · OGS · SMTI · NVDA

Where Does HDL Sit in CirclFi's Restaurants Rankings?

HDL is ranked against every other Restaurants stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Restaurants stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Super Hi International Holding Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Super Hi International Holding Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL)'s intrinsic value at $22.48 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.67 to $68.40. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $48.30 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HDL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.28, 7 of 11 active models suggest HDL may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $22.48, 69.3% above the current price of $13.28 — a consensus view that HDL is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Super Hi International Holding Ltd.'s business model in Restaurants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for HDL?

Super Hi International Holding Ltd.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HDL?

CirclFi analyzes HDL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HDL?

Of the 11 models currently active on HDL, First Chicago is the most bullish at $68.40 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $2.67. CirclFi's published fair value for HDL is the median of that range, $22.48, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 292% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HDL a value trap in 2026?

Super Hi International Holding Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HDL) has a median fair value of $22.48 — 69.3% above the current price of $13.28 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HDL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HDL valuation

Market data for HDL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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