SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING (HDL) Fair Value 2026

HDL · Retail-Eating Places ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING (HDL) trades at $12.33, approximately 50% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $24.53. QOC: 6.8/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HDL
Price
$12.33
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +99.0% upside with 30% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.33)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$24.53 +99.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$14.84 +20.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$15.42 +25.0%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$13.03 +5.7%

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What Is SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING (HDL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING at $12.33. With an estimated intrinsic value of $14.48 and 7 of 12 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +17.5%. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $24.63 (+99.7%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $5.63 (-54.4%). This +154.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING 's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HDL?

12 of 13 models are currently active for HDL. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HDL's intrinsic value at $24.53, implying +99.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HDL Rank in Retail-Eating Places?

Among 42 Retail-Eating Places stocks, HDL ranks #24 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →

The Retail-Eating Places sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING , metrics like inventory turnover provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HDL a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for HDL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING . Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +154.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HDL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HDL's 12 active models, average confidence is 19%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Eating Places Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Retail-Eating Places stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CMG · TXRH · WING · NATH · MCD

See all Retail-Eating Places stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING

What is SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING 's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING (HDL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $24.53. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HDL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.33, 8 of 12 active models suggest HDL may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING 's business model in Retail-Eating Places.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for HDL?

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING 's QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HDL?

CirclFi analyzes HDL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HDL a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for HDL at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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