What Is Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $134.30. Trading at its current price of $192.03, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -30.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $403.85 (+110.3%), versus Dynamic NAV at $8.08 (-95.8%). This +206.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About TXRH?
13 of 13 models are currently active for TXRH. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TXRH's intrinsic value at $54.68, implying -71.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does TXRH Rank in Retail-Eating Places?
Among 42 Retail-Eating Places stocks, TXRH ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places TXRH in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →
The Retail-Eating Places sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For Texas Roadhouse, Inc., metrics like gross margin expansion provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is TXRH a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TXRH. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Texas Roadhouse, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. scores 9.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +206.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every TXRH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across TXRH's 13 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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