MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) Fair Value 2026

MXL · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) trades at $61.73, versus a $71.19 median fair value across its 2 active models — 15.3% above the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MXL
Price
$61.73
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +84.1% upside with 46% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $71.19, 15.3% above the current price of $61.73. Estimates range from $28.72 to $113.65. MXL scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. MXL’s +15.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Semiconductors sector median is -60.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy MaxLinear, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MXL?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($61.73)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $113.65 +84.1%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $28.72 -53.5%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MaxLinear, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $71.19, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $61.73. With a median implied return of +15.3% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +137.6% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +84.1% (fair value: $113.65), while FTNN is the most conservative at -53.5% ($28.72). The spread between these extremes — +137.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About MXL?

2 of 13 models are currently active for MXL. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MXL is $71.19 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MXL Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, MXL ranks #44 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

As a chip maker, MaxLinear, Inc. operates in a sector where design win pipeline is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating MXL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is MXL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MXL a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for MaxLinear, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, MaxLinear, Inc. is rated at 6.6/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +137.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MXL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MXL's 2 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy MaxLinear, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

LASRnLIGHT, Inc.QOC 6.7LEDSSemiLEDs CorporationQOC 6.6ASXASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.QOC 6.7INDIindie Semiconductor, Inc.QOC 6.3ALGMAllegro MicroSystems, Inc.QOC 6.8QUIKQuickLogic CorporationQOC 6.2CBRSCerebras Systems Inc.QOC 3.7TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company LimitedQOC 9.2SMTCSemtech CorporationQOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: LASR · LEDS · ASX · INDI · ALGM · QUIK · CBRS · TSM · SMTC · NVDA · AVGO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MXL?

6 companies across all industries closest to MXL’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

HGYNHong Yuan Holding GroupQOC 6.6MITQMoving iMage Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.6BBDCBarings BDC, Inc.QOC 6.6AAMEAtlantic American CorporationQOC 6.6APPSDigital Turbine, Inc.QOC 6.6HHyatt Hotels CorporationQOC 6.6

Read investment analysis: HGYN · MITQ · BBDC · AAME · APPS · H

Where Does MXL Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

MXL is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About MaxLinear, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is MaxLinear, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL)'s intrinsic value at $71.19 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $28.72 to $113.65. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MXL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $61.73, 1 of 2 active models suggest MXL may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $71.19, 15.3% above the current price of $61.73 — a consensus view that MXL is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits MaxLinear, Inc.'s business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for MXL?

MaxLinear, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MXL?

CirclFi analyzes MXL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MXL a value trap in 2026?

MaxLinear, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) has a median fair value of $71.19 — 15.3% above the current price of $61.73 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MXL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MXL valuation
  • Financial statements: MaxLinear, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001288469) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MXL as of ; valuations recomputed .