Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) Fair Value 2026

RIG · Drilling Oil & Gas Wells ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) trades at $5.31, approximately 4357% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.12. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RIG
Price
$5.31
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.31)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$0.12 -97.8%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$1.55 -70.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$3.03 -43.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$3.49 -34.2%

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What Is Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.19. Trading at its current price of $5.31, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -40.0%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +29.7% (fair value: $6.89), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -97.8% ($0.12). The spread between these extremes — +127.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About RIG?

13 of 13 models are currently active for RIG. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RIG's intrinsic value at $0.12, implying -97.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RIG Rank in Drilling Oil & Gas Wells?

Among 12 Drilling Oil & Gas Wells stocks, RIG ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

The Drilling Oil & Gas Wells sector introduces analytical considerations specific to oil and gas company businesses. For Transocean Ltd (Switzerland), metrics like breakeven oil price provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is RIG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RIG a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Transocean Ltd (Switzerland). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +127.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RIG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RIG's 13 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)

What is Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Transocean Ltd (Switzerland) (RIG) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.12. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RIG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.31, 2 of 13 active models suggest RIG may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)'s business model in Drilling Oil & Gas Wells.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for RIG?

Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RIG?

CirclFi analyzes RIG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RIG a value trap in 2026?

Transocean Ltd (Switzerland)'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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