Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) Fair Value 2026

BORR · Oil & Gas Drilling ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) trades at $4.45, versus a $2.00 median fair value across its 8 active models — 55.1% below the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BORR
Price
$4.45
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +257.1% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $2.00, 55.1% below the current price of $4.45. Estimates range from $1.15 to $15.89. BORR scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BORR’s -55.1% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Borr Drilling Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BORR?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $2.30 -48.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $15.89 +257.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.80 -59.5%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $1.46 -67.3%
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What Is BORR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $1.15 to $15.89

CirclFi's 8 active models place Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) between $1.15 and $15.89 per share, a spread of 738% of the median. The median of that range — $2.00 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BORR, against a current price of $4.45.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · First Chicago
$1.15median $2.00$15.89
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1.15
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$15.89
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BORR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BORR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Borr Drilling Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $2.00, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $4.45. With 6 out of 8 models flagging downside (-55.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $15.89 (+257.1%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $1.15 (-74.2%). This +331.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Borr Drilling Limited's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BORR?

8 of 13 models are currently active for BORR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BORR is $2.00 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BORR Rank in Oil & Gas Drilling?

Among 10 Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, BORR ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Oil & Gas Drilling space, Borr Drilling Limited competes in an environment where capital efficiency ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is BORR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BORR a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Borr Drilling Limited. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Borr Drilling Limited is rated at 7.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +331.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BORR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BORR's 8 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Borr Drilling Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Drilling Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Oil & Gas Drilling stocks with 13-model coverage

VALValaris LimitedQOC 8.2NENoble Corporation plcQOC 8.1PDSPrecision Drilling CorporationQOC 7.7NBRNabors Industries Ltd.QOC 7.6PTENPatterson-UTI Energy, Inc.QOC 7.2HPHelmerich & Payne, Inc.QOC 7.1RIGTransocean Ltd.QOC 6.6SDRLSeadrill LimitedQOC 6.5SOCSable Offshore Corp.QOC 4.0

Read investment analysis: VAL · NE · PDS · NBR · PTEN · HP · RIG · SDRL · SOC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BORR?

7 companies across all industries closest to BORR’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

DOOBRP Inc.QOC 7.8MARMarriott International, Inc.QOC 7.8GPIGroup 1 Automotive, Inc.QOC 7.8COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc.QOC 7.8LEGHLegacy Housing CorporationQOC 7.8MKTWMarketWise, Inc.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DOO · MAR · GPI · COLB · LEGH · MKTW · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Borr Drilling Limited’s Valuation?

What is Borr Drilling Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Borr Drilling Limited (BORR)'s intrinsic value at $2.00 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.15 to $15.89. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BORR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.45, 2 of 8 active models suggest BORR may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $2.00, 55.1% below the current price of $4.45 — a consensus view that BORR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Borr Drilling Limited's business model in Oil & Gas Drilling.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for BORR?

Borr Drilling Limited's QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BORR?

CirclFi analyzes BORR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BORR?

Of the 8 models currently active on BORR, First Chicago is the most bullish at $15.89 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $1.15. CirclFi's published fair value for BORR is the median of that range, $2.00, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 738% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BORR a value trap in 2026?

Borr Drilling Limited's Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Borr Drilling Limited (BORR) has a median fair value of $2.00 — 55.1% below the current price of $4.45 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BORR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BORR valuation
  • Financial statements: Borr Drilling Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001715497) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BORR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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