What Is Lithia Motors, Inc. (LAD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lithia Motors, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $417.30, suggesting a +31.2% average upside from the current price of $317.96. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $951.85 (+199.4%), versus Bayesian DCF at $74.01 (-76.7%). This +276.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, RCMH-DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About LAD?
12 of 13 models are currently active for LAD. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LAD's intrinsic value at $74.01, implying -76.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does LAD Rank in Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations?
Among 19 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations stocks, LAD ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places LAD in the top tier.
Within the Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations space, Lithia Motors, Inc. competes in an environment where store traffic trends often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is LAD a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LAD a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Lithia Motors, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Lithia Motors, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +276.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every LAD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across LAD's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad