What Is Valvoline Inc. (VVV) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Valvoline Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $14.82. Trading at its current price of $38.54, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -61.5%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $41.83 (+8.5%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $0.77 (-98.0%). This +106.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Valvoline Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About VVV?
13 of 13 models are currently active for VVV. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates VVV's intrinsic value at $6.43, implying -83.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does VVV Rank in Miscellaneous Products of Petroleum & Coal?
Among 2 Miscellaneous Products of Petroleum & Coal stocks, VVV ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.
Valvoline Inc.'s positioning within the Miscellaneous Products of Petroleum & Coal segment means that production decline rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including commodity price environment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is VVV a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VVV a score of 31/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Valvoline Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Valvoline Inc. scores 4.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +106.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every VVV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across VVV's 13 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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