Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR) Fair Value 2026

KWR · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR) trades at $165.91, versus a $74.35 median fair value across its 11 active models — 55.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $14.75.

Key Facts

Ticker
KWR
Price
$165.91
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $74.35, 55.2% below the current price of $165.91. Estimates range from $14.75 to $368.89. KWR scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. KWR’s -55.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Chemicals sector median is -36.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Quaker Chemical Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KWR?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($165.91)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.75 -91.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $36.07 -78.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $68.01 -59.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $81.22 -51.0%
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What Is KWR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $14.75 to $368.89

CirclFi's 11 active models place Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR) between $14.75 and $368.89 per share, a spread of 476% of the median. The median of that range — $74.35 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KWR, against a current price of $165.91.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$14.75median $74.35$368.89
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$14.75
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$368.89
Model agreement1 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KWR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KWR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Quaker Chemical Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $74.35. Trading at its current price of $165.91, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -55.2%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +122.3% (fair value: $368.89), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -91.1% ($14.75). The spread between these extremes — +213.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KWR?

11 of 13 models are currently active for KWR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KWR is $74.35 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $14.75 on its own, implying -91.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KWR Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 70 Specialty Chemicals stocks, KWR ranks #27 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →

Quaker Chemical Corporation's positioning within the Specialty Chemicals segment means that book-to-bill ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is KWR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KWR a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Quaker Chemical Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Quaker Chemical Corporation scores 7.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +213.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KWR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KWR's 11 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Quaker Chemical Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

KOPKoppers Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4MTXMinerals Technologies Inc.QOC 7.2FULH.B. Fuller CompanyQOC 7.4ALBAlbemarle CorporationQOC 7.2SCLStepan CompanyQOC 7.4FSIFlexible Solutions International, Inc.QOC 7.2KROKronos Worldwide, Inc.QOC 6.4HGASGlobal Gas CorporationQOC 4.2ECLEcolab Inc.QOC 8.7ODCOil-Dri Corporation of AmericaQOC 9.2RPMRPM International Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: KOP · MTX · FUL · ALB · SCL · FSI · KRO · HGAS · ECL · ODC · RPM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KWR?

7 companies across all industries closest to KWR’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

TFSLTFS Financial CorporationQOC 7.3SUSuncor Energy Inc.QOC 7.3BNTXBioNTech SEQOC 7.3HHHHoward Hughes Holdings Inc.QOC 7.3YDDLOne and one Green Technologies. IncQOC 7.3NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TFSL · SU · BNTX · HHH · YDDL · NSIT · NVDA

Where Does KWR Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Chemicals Rankings?

KWR is ranked against every other Specialty Chemicals stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Chemicals stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Quaker Chemical Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Quaker Chemical Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR)'s intrinsic value at $74.35 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $14.75 to $368.89. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $14.75 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KWR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $165.91, 1 of 11 active models suggest KWR may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $74.35, 55.2% below the current price of $165.91 — a consensus view that KWR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Quaker Chemical Corporation's business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for KWR?

Quaker Chemical Corporation's QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KWR?

CirclFi analyzes KWR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KWR?

Of the 11 models currently active on KWR, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $368.89 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $14.75. CirclFi's published fair value for KWR is the median of that range, $74.35, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 476% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KWR a value trap in 2026?

Quaker Chemical Corporation's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Quaker Chemical Corporation (KWR) has a median fair value of $74.35 — 55.2% below the current price of $165.91 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KWR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KWR valuation
  • Financial statements: Quaker Chemical Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000081362) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KWR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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