Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) Fair Value 2026

KOP · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (11/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) trades at $46.56, versus a $49.05 median fair value across its 11 active models — 5.4% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 11/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $28.84.

Key Facts

Ticker
KOP
Price
$46.56
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
11/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +397.4% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $49.05, within 5.4% of the current price of $46.56. Estimates range from $12.82 to $231.59. KOP scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 11/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. KOP’s +5.4% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Specialty Chemicals sector median is -36.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Koppers Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KOP?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($46.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $28.84 -38.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.82 -72.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $49.05 +5.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $231.59 +397.4%
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What Is KOP's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $12.82 to $231.59

CirclFi's 11 active models place Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) between $12.82 and $231.59 per share, a spread of 446% of the median. The median of that range — $49.05 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KOP, against a current price of $46.56.

Low · EPVHigh · First Chicago
$12.82median $49.05$231.59
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$12.82
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$231.59
Model agreement6 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KOP. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KOP, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Koppers Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $49.05, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $46.56. While the median implied return is +5.4%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +469.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $231.59 (+397.4%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $12.82 (-72.5%). This +469.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Koppers Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KOP?

11 of 13 models are currently active for KOP. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KOP is $49.05 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $28.84 on its own, implying -38.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KOP Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 70 Specialty Chemicals stocks, KOP ranks #26 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →

The Specialty Chemicals sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Koppers Holdings Inc., metrics like capacity utilization rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is KOP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KOP a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Koppers Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Koppers Holdings Inc. earns a quality score of 7.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +469.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KOP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KOP's 11 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Koppers Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

FULH.B. Fuller CompanyQOC 7.4KWRQuaker Chemical CorporationQOC 7.3SCLStepan CompanyQOC 7.4MTXMinerals Technologies Inc.QOC 7.2HDSNHudson Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.6ALBAlbemarle CorporationQOC 7.2ASPNAspen Aerogels, Inc.QOC 6.4FEAV5E Advanced Materials, Inc.QOC 4.2IOSPInnospec Inc.QOC 8.7ODCOil-Dri Corporation of AmericaQOC 9.2RPMRPM International Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: FUL · KWR · SCL · MTX · HDSN · ALB · ASPN · FEAV · IOSP · ODC · RPM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KOP?

7 companies across all industries closest to KOP’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

JBLUJetBlue Airways CorporationQOC 7.4CACCamden National CorporationQOC 7.4KNTKKinetik Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4INBPIntegrated BioPharma, Inc.QOC 7.4ATKRAtkore Inc.QOC 7.4LXPLXP Industrial TrustQOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: JBLU · CAC · KNTK · INBP · ATKR · LXP · NVDA

Where Does KOP Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Chemicals Rankings?

KOP is ranked against every other Specialty Chemicals stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Chemicals stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Koppers Holdings Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Koppers Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP)'s intrinsic value at $49.05 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $12.82 to $231.59. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $28.84 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KOP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $46.56, 6 of 11 active models suggest KOP may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $49.05, within 5.4% of the current price of $46.56 — a consensus view that KOP is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Koppers Holdings Inc.'s business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for KOP?

Koppers Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KOP?

CirclFi analyzes KOP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KOP?

Of the 11 models currently active on KOP, First Chicago is the most bullish at $231.59 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $12.82. CirclFi's published fair value for KOP is the median of that range, $49.05, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 446% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KOP a value trap in 2026?

Koppers Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 11/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) has a median fair value of $49.05 — within 5.4% of the current price of $46.56 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KOP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KOP valuation
  • Financial statements: Koppers Holdings Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001315257) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KOP as of ; valuations recomputed .

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