Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) Fair Value 2026

KOP · Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) trades at $48.53, approximately 241% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $14.21. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KOP
Price
$48.53
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($48.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$14.21 -70.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$35.52 -26.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$46.36 -4.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$25.75 -46.9%

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What Is Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Koppers Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $35.74. Trading at $48.53, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -26.4%), as 7 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $67.82 (+39.8%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $13.31 (-72.6%). This +112.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Koppers Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KOP?

11 of 13 models are currently active for KOP. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates KOP's intrinsic value at $14.21, implying -70.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KOP Rank in Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture)?

Among 4 Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture) stocks, KOP ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

Koppers Holdings Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is KOP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KOP a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Koppers Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Koppers Holdings Inc. earns a quality score of 7.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +112.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KOP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KOP's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Koppers Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About Koppers Holdings Inc.

What is Koppers Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $14.21. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KOP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $48.53, 3 of 11 active models suggest KOP may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Koppers Holdings Inc.'s business model in Lumber & Wood Products (No Furniture).

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for KOP?

Koppers Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KOP?

CirclFi analyzes KOP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is KOP a value trap in 2026?

Koppers Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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